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China holds drills ;
Taiwan lost its China spy war
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Trump's
tariffs
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Trump problem
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China-Taiwan
war
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how
world
backs Beijing's claim
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US
supports
Taiwan
independence
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Trump's
defense policy
on Taiwan
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unprecedented
recall
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political
vendetta
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Lawmakers
brawl
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more
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resource
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China
holds large-scale drills around Taiwan after president Lai announced
measures to counter China's influence and espionage |
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| ◆◆New York Times, 2025-4-1 | Chinese land, navy, air and missile forces would “approach close” to Taiwan and practice “seizure of overall control, etc. The exercises appeared intended to intimidate Taiwan, without tipping over into a wider confrontation or crisis. They likely want to persuade the Trump administration that Lai is a troublemaker and to deter the U.S. from maintaining high levels of support to Taiwan. |
| ◆◆CNN, 2025-4-1 | China's armed forces will “close in” on the self-governing island from “multiple directions”, testing US resolve. US defense chief Pete Hegseth vowed to counter “China's aggression” on his first visit to Asia days ago. Taiwan's government officials and experts view the Chinese drills as a signal to the Trump administration. China also released a series of propaganda videos, including one that depicts president Lai as a green cartoon bug and calls him a “parasite” hollowing out the island. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-4-1 | China targets Taiwan's president with military drills and personal attacks. Taiwanese expert: "we should call it a pre-invasion operation.” By specifically targeting Taiwan and blaming Lai, China is engaging in “cognitive warfare” that is gradually making Taiwanese numb to the real threats they face. The gradual ratcheting up of activity in frequency and complexity raises the possibility that “drills could escalate into actual conflict”. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-28 | Taiwanese soldiers guarding president's office were spying for China. This shows how severe China's infiltration is in Taiwan; Taiwan's sentencing on espionage activities has been too lenient. It is now even more uncertain whether Washington would come to Taiwan's aid. Taipei's latest crackdown on espionage helps show Washington that Taiwan is serious about plugging leaks |
| ◆◆The Diplomat, 2025-4-1 | the U.S. has called on Taiwan to do more for its own security, including taking action on frequent cases of defection or espionage |
| ◆◆Washington Examiner, 2025-3-25 | Taiwan has already lost its China spy war. Taiwan's defense and security structures are so deeply penetrated by Chinese spies that Beijing knows everything about its plans to deter aggression by the People's Liberation Army, including American defense and intelligence secrets. At this point, any secrets Washington shares with our Taiwanese partners stand a high chance of winding up in Chinese Communist hands.washingtonexaminer.com/restoring-america/courage-strength-optimism/3357074/taiwan-has-already-lost-its-china-spy-war |
| ◆◆Stanford Review, 2025-2-24 | Taiwan's military is dilapidated. Reports of Chinese espionage and infiltration are commonplace throughout Taiwan's military and civil society. |
| ◆◆Reuters, 2021-12-20 | The repeated cases of the most senior level of Taiwan armed forces officers being convicted of espionage...Beijing has even penetrated the security detail assigned to protect Taiwan's President. Well-placed spies in the ranks of the Taiwan military could offer a priceless advantage to China if the two sides plunge into open conflict, according to Taiwanese and U.S. military analysts. |
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Taiwan's Tougher Stance on China |
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| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-31 | Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te has also adopted a harder line toward China and moved to crack down more on Chinese espionage in what analysts say is an effort to appeal to China hawks in the Trump administration. |
| ◆◆New York Times, 2025-3-23 | Taiwan President's Gambit: Time for a Tougher Stance on China. President Lai may be betting that China's appetite for retaliation will be limited by Beijing's interest in containing tensions with the Trump administration. Part of Lai's calculus is that if the opposition played games with his proposed defense spending increase, that would get Washington's attention in a way they really don't want. Nationalist politicians accused Lai of unfairly casting his domestic critics as “red” tools of Beijing, and argue that reinstating military courts is backsliding. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-21 | For decades, Taiwanese leaders have performed a delicate dance of defending Taiwan’s sovereignty while not provoking Beijing. Taiwanese President Lai Ching-te is changing that. “We are moving toward conflict escalation with China, that's for sure,” said a professor at National Chengchi University. |
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pic. : No.1 "review Taiwan" on US Yahoo, 2025-3-30, 2025-3-3, 2025-2-28, 2025-2-18, 2025-2-12, 2025-1-25, 2025-1-1, 2024-12-31, 2022-2-22, 2021-11-12
pic. : No.1 "review Taiwan" on Yandex, 2025-4-1, 2025-3-19, 2025-3-3, 2025-2-28, 2025-2-18, 2025-2-12, 2025-2-4, 2025-1-6, 2025-1-1, 2024-12-31, 2024-12-28, 2023-9-13, 2023-9-6, 2023-9-1; No.2 "review Taiwan" on Yandex, 2024-12-27, 2024-12-22, 2024-12-20; " No.2 "Review Taiwan" on Yandex , 2024-8-8, 2023-12-12; No.3 "review Taiwan", at 2024-12-25, 2024-12-15, 2024-2-1, 2023-11-1; " review Taiwan" among top ranks on Yandex, 2024-12-15
pic. : No.1 "review Taiwan" on Bing, 2025-4-1, 2025-3-14, 2025-3-3, 2025-2-28, 2025-2-18, 2025-2-12, 2024-10-10, 2024-9-30, 2024-9-15, 2024-8-20, 2024-8-8, 2024-8-2, 2024-7-23, 2024-7-11, 2024-7-1, 2024-6-3, 2024-5-1, 2024-4-19, 2024-3-15, 2024-3-3, 2024-2-28, 2024-2-12, 2024-1-14, 2024-1-1, 2023-12-12, 2023-11-29, 2023-11-11, 2023-11-1, 2023-10-6, 2023-9-18, 2023-9-6, 2023-9-1, 2023-8-21, 2023-8-8, 2023-8-1, 2023-7-14, 2023-7-4, 2023-6-17, 2023-6-3, 2023-5-23, 2023-5-1, 2023-4-30, 2023-4-15, 2023-3-31, 2023-3-20, 2023-2-28, 2023-1-21, 2023-1-1, 2022-12-24, 2022-12-17, 2022-11-29, 2022-11-1, 2022-10-23, 2022-10-10, 2022-9-23, 2022-9-16, 2022-9-5,2022-8-24, 2022-8-1, 2022-7-29, 2022-7-21, 2022-7-4, 2022-7-1, 2022-6-14, 2022-5-26, 2022-4-30, 2022-4-9, 2022-3-21, 2022-3-12, 2022-2-22, 2022-2-10, 2022-1-22, 2022-1-11, 2022-1-3, 2021-12-27, 2021-12-10, 2021-12-4, 2021-10-25, 2021-10-20, 2021-10-14, 2021-10-8, 2021-10-3, 2021-9-19, 2021-8-22, 2021-8-5, 2021-7-24, 2021-5-26, 2021-5-9, 2021-4-18, 3-26-2021, 3-20-2021, 3-8-2021, 2-21-2021, 1-1-2021, 12-6-2020, 11-29-2020, 11-1-2020, 10-11-2020, 8-2-2020 6-21-2020, 5-19-2020, 5-13-2020, 4-23-2020, 2-2-2020, 1-17-2020, 12-31-2019, 12-12-2019
pic. : No.1 "review Taiwan" on Duckduckgo, 2025-4-1
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| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-3-17 | Taiwan's military planners signal to Washington the desire for a stable relationship as anxieties simmer in Taipei about whether President Trump would send help to defend against a Chinese attack. Trump's recent suspension of U.S. support for Ukraine heightened those concerns in Taiwan. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-21 | The U.S. president's transactional approach has unnerved many in Taiwan. The long-standing U.S. policy of “strategic ambiguity”is now even more pronounced. |
| ◆◆The Hill, 2025-3-13 | Taiwan president Lai has clearly gotten the message that he must increase defense spending in a world where the U.S. appears increasingly likely to leave small powers to fend for themselves. |
| ◆◆TIME, 2025-2-27 | University of London expert says: I haven't seen any evidence that Trump cares much about Taiwan. Nanyang Technological University scholar says: China may be able to take Taiwan “without too much U.S. interference” if Beijing is able to strike a similar deal with Washington. |
| ◆◆Eurasian Times, 2025-3-1 | Same Playbook! just like the Ukraine minerals deal, the U.S. seeks to secure Taiwan's semiconductor technology through the TSMC-Intel deal. The agreements conspicuously lack one crucial element—security guarantees in both cases. |
| ◆◆New York Times, 2025-2-25 | Mr. Trump executes a dramatic reversal of U.S. policy toward Ukraine, insisting that Ukraine is to blame for the war; In Taiwan, Mr. Trump's stinging comments about Ukraine could feed a current of public opinion arguing that the island has been repeatedly abandoned by Washington and cannot trust its promises. |
| ◆◆ Washington Post, 2025-2-18 | Each statement by Trump that degrades the principle that territorial boundaries must not be redrawn by force or coercion might embolden China on Taiwan. political scientist Graham Allison : “Taiwan will be depreciated in the triangular relationship”,“I see no evidence whatever that [Trump] believes the U.S. has any vital interest in Taiwan.” |
| ◆◆Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-2-21 | Trump is making Taiwan more vulnerable. Trump has also made clear that he wants to negotiate a broad economic deal with China, which raises the question of what China will seek in return. If Trump can take Greenland, why can't China take Taiwan? |
| ◆◆The Guardian, 2025-2-21 | Taiwan holds its breath as a withdrawal of American support here would spark an existential crisis. “The Trump administration has already demonstrated that it is willing to suddenly and without warning break from decades of bipartisan US policy on China,” says head at ASPI. Worries about Trump's “lukewarm” view of Taiwan are becoming more obvious ...says professor at Taiwan's National ChengChi university. |
| ◆◆Bloomberg, 2025-2-14 | Taiwan President pledged to boost military spending to 3% of GDP; Trump suggested the archipelago should devote 10% of GDP to its armed forces. The extra funds for defense would be secured through a special budget, Lai said. Such a move would require the cooperation of opposition lawmakers because they control the legislature. |
| ◆◆NY Times, 2025-2-13 | some hard-line hawks on Taiwan have been left out, “It looks like Taiwan bet on some of the wrong horses.” ; Elbridge Colby warned that Taiwan should not assume that it was indispensable to the United States. |
| ◆◆Fox News, 2025-2-7 | Trump's comments on the campaign trail suggest that he would not be willing to put boots on the ground to face another global superpower in defense of the island democracy. |
| ◆◆Newsweek, 2025-1-3 | Trump, who positioned himself as being tough on China, has suggested he would not defend Taiwan from China |
| ◆◆Politico (EU), 2025-1-30 | President Donald Trump's threat to use military force to take control of Greenland and Panama has spooked Taiwan. This could embolden Beijing to apply that same logic to pursuing its claims to Taiwan. |
| ◆◆The Atlantics, 2024-10-25 | The shortcomings of Taiwan's military lend some validity to Trump's complaint that America's allies don't pay enough for their own defense and dump too much of the responsibility onto the United States—a burden that a second Trump administration might not be committed to bear. |
| ◆◆New York Times, 2024-10-26 | Mr. Trump criticized Taiwan, saying that “they stole our chip business”,“They want us to protect, ... They don't pay us money for the protection... The mob makes you pay money, right?”America's heavy reliance on Taiwan's semiconductors has been a growing source of concern among U.S. officials, given China's ongoing threats to invade the self-governing island. |
| ◆◆Washington Post, 2025-3-21 | “We are moving toward conflict escalation with China, that's for sure,” said a professor at National Chengchi University. |
| ◆◆Wall Street Journal, 2025-3-17 | Taiwan envisions Chinese assaults on the island to potentially come by land, sea, air and space as well as through cyberattacks, among others. China could launch a rapid invasion or blockade Taiwan to try to pressure it into submission. |
| ◆◆Associated Press, 2025-3-18 | China conducts air and sea drills (an unusually large number of Chinese military ships, planes and drones entered airspace and waters surrounding Taiwan ) in response to US and Taiwanese statements. Taiwanese President William Lai Ching-te said that Taiwan law designates mainland China as a “foreign hostile force” and said tougher measures... The United States deleted the literal expression that reflected the one-China principle and that did not support Taiwan independence on the website of the U.S. Department of State. |
| ◆ Brookings, 2025-3-13 | In surveys (2021, 2022), Taiwanese people were asked how likely they are to be willing to fight against an invasion by China on a one-to-five scale. After observing the invasion, more respondents gravitated to extreme options. A research in 2022 indicated that the more Taiwanese citizens believe the United States will assist Taiwan, the higher their willingness to engage in self-defense becomes. Additionally, a 2024 study by Ronan Tse-min Fu and colleagues found that when Taiwanese individuals perceive that Taiwan and U.S. interests align, they are more likely to trust that the United States will provide assistance, thereby strengthening their resolve for self-defense. |
| ◆ Fox News, 2025-3-2 | most Taiwanese aren't willing to make the sacrifices required for victory in war. Migrant workers serving as essentially mercenaries would only highlight how few of our citizens are willing to fight . Taiwanese expert says: I understand the logic behind the U.S. policy of strategic ambiguity, but I fear far too many Taiwanese people – especially younger people – are counting on a rescue from Uncle Sam" |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-2-22 |
Taiwan must "adopt a new military culture"
akin to that of Israel, turning itself into a warrior-state. the DPP has flirted with sovereignty and self-determination, it has always been careful to stop short of provoking China with any outright declaration of independence —— that has kept Taiwan and China from falling into war. |
| ◆ Brookings, 2025-2-12 | China's strategy of “coercion without violence” includes cyber intrusions, economic coercion, influence operations, bribery, organized crime, united front activities, and ceaseless and intensifying military pressure surrounding Taiwan. In other words, Beijing is taking a full spectrum of actions... |
| ◆ Economist, 2025-2-6 | China is infiltrating Taiwan's armed forces. Most of the prosecuted cases have been uncovered through internal reporting, showing that anti-spy education is working. |
| ◆ New York Post, 2025-1-23 | Trump says he can strike deals that would keep China out of Taiwan. “We have a pot of gold.”,“We have one very big power over China and that's tariffs”. |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-1-17 | Taiwan is entering a period of political upheaval that could hinder its combat readiness; The two parties (KMT, TPP) that hold the majority in parliament are calling for substantial cuts, including to defense spending; Debates over defense — “whether to increase the military budget or pay a ‘protection fee’ to Trump” — are being “turned into battlegrounds for partisan conflict”. Trump has declined to give Biden's promise, instead calling for Taipei to pay for U.S. protection. |
| ◆ Council on Foreign Relations, 2025-1-15 | A top concern among U.S. security analysts is that China's growing military capabilities and assertiveness, as well as the deterioration in cross-strait relations, could spark a conflict that leads to a U.S.-China confrontation. |
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-1-13 | Taiwan's long stretches of the coast comprise cliffs, reefs and rocks, while the flatter western seaboard is lined with mudflats. China building new mobile piers could help possible Taiwan invasion; But military experts said a Chinese invasion force would still struggle to advance through Taiwan's western plains, which are densely packed with paddy fields, fish ponds and urban sprawl, with wide roads often hard to reach from shore. |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-1-14 |
Taiwan's military is not prepared for a Trumpian World; With the former president soon back in the White House, Taipei needs to rethink its defense strategy. |
| ◆ The Hill, 2025-1-7 | a professor at Brown University said the cost of a war with China is “incalculable” and would at the very least sow mass destruction in Taiwan and the South China Sea region; the U.S. should avoid a war over Taiwan, arguing it amounts to a civil war dispute and, for the U.S., a moral conundrum more than a national security risk. |
| ◆ Financial Times, 2025-1-5 |
Taiwan suspects a
Chinese-owned ship of cutting a subsea cable off its northern coast. Taipei is concerned that such “greyzone” operations, below the threshold of war, will make it harder to defend against aggression that could eventually escalate to an outright attack. ps: Politico Europe (2025-1-5): Taiwan has experienced several dozen incidents of damage to its underwater telecom cables in recent years, without being able to definitively identify the source of the attacks, and has appealed to the European Union for help. |
| ◆ Wall Street Journal, 2025-1-3 | In addition to unleashing its full military power, Beijing would be expected to use a variety of economic strategies in a showdown over Taiwan. A 2023 study by Rhodium Group and the Atlantic Council concluded that Beijing has been more systematic in preparing such defenses than Russia was to counter Western sanctions. |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-1-1 | Xi's New Year speech: "No one can sever our blood ties, and no one can stop the historical trend of the reunification of the motherland!" |
| ◆ Washington Examiner, 2025-1-1 | The quantity and quality of munitions to deter a Chinese invasion of Taiwan has fallen as they have been diverted to Ukraine. The sooner the war in Ukraine ends, the sooner American forces can rearm in the Pacific. While Taiwan's 2.5% of GDP spent on defense is impressive compared to many European nations, it is nowhere near what is needed in a nation at the front line of conflict. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2024-12-31 | Without a plan, a Taiwan crisis risks undermining the foundations of American prosperity and security. As a report from a House panel concluded last year: "The United States lacks a contingency plan for the economic and financial impacts of conflict" with China. Imposing sweeping sanctions on China would undermine the international economic system that the United States is uniquely positioned to protect. |
| ◆ USNI News, 2024-12-19 | The Pentagon's report recognizes that China has “both the will and capability to alter the international order in its favor”; but Xi Jinping's goal of having his military ready to carry out a “short, sharp invasion” of Taiwan by 2027 “is not possible right now”; the force has not yet demonstrated the type and scale of sophisticated urban warfare or long-distance logistic capabilities that would likely be required for operations against Taiwan or major contingencies overseas”. |
| ◆ Financial Times, 2024-12-13 | US nuclear build-up would not help deter China from using atomic weapons in Taiwan, war game finds; Unclassified exercise by CSIS and MIT suggests Washington should not go beyond current modernisation plans... only five of 15 iterations of the nuclear game ended with a withdrawal of the PLA. |
| ◆ Economist, 2024-12-5 |
American military officials have
long worried about a “window of vulnerability” before new weapons enter
into service in the 2030s. But
corruption in the PLA is changing the calculations of analysts;
China's economic woes and social
discontent mean that Mr Xi is turning inward. The views (the period of greatest danger has probably been pushed out for several years) are not universally shared, in or out of government. “Xi has his foot firmly on the accelerator and a full tank of gas". |
| ◆ VOX, 2024-12-16 | a majority of Taiwanese and US national security experts do not believe China currently has the capability to carry out an amphibious invasion of Taiwan, most do believe China could currently enact either a blockade or a quarantine of the island. And such an operation may prove just as effective while carrying far less risk for Beijing. |
| ◆ Breaking Defense, 2024-12-6 |
The head of the Defense
Intelligence Agency: China did
appear to be on track to meet Xi's 2027 preparedness goal. House intel's Himes: You could implement a blockade. You know, what? If you invade Taiwan, what happens? A. You may lose. B. You may reduce the place to smoking rubble, what have you really achieved economically? |
| ◆ Newsweek, 2024-11-20 | U.S. Pacific Commander Samuel Paparo: a cross-strait invasion executed by the Chinese military would be "exceedingly difficult" given the advantages of the U.S. and allies. |
| ◆ Washington Examiner, 2024-12-4 |
Chinese leaders have said
they want their military to be prepared to invade Taiwan by 2027, though
U.S. defense leaders have said the date does not guarantee a decision to
carry out such an operation has been made.
War with China would exhaust munition stockpiles "very rapidly", national security adviser J. Sullivan acknowledged that China has "the single biggest advantage", "God forbid we end up in a full-scale war with the PRC" . |
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Trump says new tariffs on computer chips, semiconductors are coming soon |
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| ◆ CNN, 2025-3-14 | TSMC paying Trump a $100 billion ‘protection fee’reignited fears and resignation in Taiwan about losing its crown jewel. An economist at the University of Chicago: TSMC and others will have to “do whatever they can to make Trump happy.” But the risk is “Once you agree to blackmail, then there's no end of it” |
| ◆ Fortune, 2025-3-13 | TSMC's $100 billion promise to invest in the U.S. won’t shake up the chip supply chain: ‘Most of its capacity is still in Taiwan’. a senior research analyst at Isaiah Research is skeptical that TSMC's $100 billion pledge will fully materialize. Timelines for reaching the next generations of chips are “not quite aligned with U.S. capacity right now. |
| ◆ NPR, 2025-3-12 | Taiwanese chip giant's investments in U.S. stir 'silicon shield' security worries and divide politics in Taiwan. TSMC chairman is facing a dilemma, because on one hand, he needs to meet the needs of the Trump administration. On the other hand, he needs to assure the Taiwanese people that we'll be safe. |
| ◆ New York Times, 2025-3-6 | Taiwan's president tries to ease fears and criticism over TSMC's investment in the US. President Trump has pressed Taiwan to loosen its dominance in advanced semiconductors and to move production to the United States, and he has warned of hefty tariffs if his demands are not met.nytimes.com/2025/03/06/world/asia/taiwan-tsmc-chips-arizona.html |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-3-4 | TSMC's $100 bln gamble jeopardises 'Taiwan First'. TSMC committed to set up a major research and development centre stateside, despite an earlier assurance from boss C.C. Wei to keep innovation on the company's home island. That's a threat to Taiwan in multiple ways. The enormous disruption that military conflict would inflict on global semiconductor supply chains is a core part of the deterrence. But the more that TSMC replicates its business offshore, the more this protection will erode. |
| ◆ NY Times, 2025-2-13 | Taiwan is adjusting to a shift in its relationship with the United States, its primary backer — one that does not focus on shared democratic ideals, and that is more uncertain and transactional. Taiwanese officials have traveled to Washington to float energy deals and defend the island's semiconductors. |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-2-15 | Taiwan pledges chip talks and investment to mollify Trump |
| ◆ Bloomberg, 2025-2-15 | Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. is considering taking a controlling stake in Intel Corp.'s factories at the request of Trump administration officials, as the president looks to boost American manufacturing and maintain US leadership in critical technologies. |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-2-14; PC Magazine, 2025-2-13 | Trump: Intel was great until 'Taiwan took our chip business away'' ; Trump says he wants it (chip business ) back, "If they don't bring it back, we're not going to be very happy” |
| ◆ Fortune, 2025-2-3 | Taiwan offers to help firms move production to the U.S., Southeast Asia, or India as Trump threatens tariffs. a U.S. think tank argues that a tariff on Taiwanese chips would likely backfire. The organization claims that such a measure will increase prices, hurt U.S. tech firms, and damage relations with Taiwan, while also failing to drive chip and electronics manufacturing back to the U.S |
| ◆ Washington Post, 2025-1-28 | the vast majority of chip production happens overseas, particularly in Taiwan ── Trump said he wanted the manufacturers of semiconductors and chips — which are used in many high-end consumer electronics and sophisticated AI-powered technology and research — to open factories in the United States and would use the threat of high taxes and tariffs to force them to relocate. |
| ◆ Politico (EU), 2025-1-30 | Trump threatened to impose tariffs of up to 100 percent on Taiwanese semiconductor imports in a bid to “return production of these essential goods to the United States of America.” Taipei will convene “emergency discussions” to determine countermeasures... |
| ◆ Reuters, 2025-1-28 |
Taiwan Economy Minister said he
only expected a small impact from any tariffs imposed by Trump on semiconductor
exports given their technological superiority. In another potential challenge for Taiwan, Trump last week directed federal agencies to investigate persistent U.S. trade deficits and unfair trade practices and alleged currency manipulation by other countries |
| ◆ Business Insider, 2025-1-28 | US tariffs on Taiwan's semiconductors could result in a steep increase in costs to Nvidia and other significant customers, such as Apple and AMD. Chip manufacturing efforts in the US are less developed and more expensive than those in Taiwan. the US's chip manufacturing sector could take years to develop the same capacity as Taiwan's. |
| ◆ CNN, 2024-12-15 | Trump's remarks have prompted jitters that Taiwan would need to move more of its critical chip supply chain to the US at a faster pace, that could affect the island's economic security and dismantle the very “silicon shield” ... |
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