intlHumanRights.com, https://Courageworld.ch are sites of same group
★★★ ★
pic.:
No.
1 "comment Taiwan" on US Yahoo,2023-1-21, 2023-1-14,
Top or No.
1 "comment Taiwan" on US Yahoo,2022-12-12, 2022-10-10, 2022-9-11, 2022-9-5,
2022-8-13, 2022-8-7,
2022-6-25, 2022-5-25
The Guardian, 2023-1-1: Ukraine
is in the headlines now. But a whole new world of conflict is about
to erupt，Taiwan,
North Korea, Iran and Palestine
are all potential flashpoints
NBC, 2022-12-27: Taiwan to extend military conscription to one year, citing threat from China
WSJ, 2022-12-27
a once politically unpalatable move that has become imperative in
the face of growing
concerns about a Chinese attack and intensifying competition between
Washington and Beijing.
wsj.com/articles/taiwan-to-extend-mandatory-military-service-11672129529
PBS,
AP,
2022-12-27
The White House welcomed the announcement on conscription reform, saying it
underscores Taiwan’s commitment to self-defense and strengthens deterrence...mong
the youngest demographic group of 20-24, however, only 35.6
percent said they would support an extension
pbs.org/newshour/world/taiwan-extends-compulsory-military-service-from-4-months-to-1-year
CNN,
2022-12-27
Chinese
soldiers can only make an amphibious landing after taking control of
the air and the sea...before
they land, there will likely be bombing and blockade, and we need
people to deliver goods and guide residents to air raid shelters
edition.cnn.com/2022/12/27/asia/taiwan-military-conscription-intl-hnk/index.html
Washington Post, 12-27
It had been a widely debated topic for a long time, but faced with
Chinese threats, the government was left little room to be hesitant
washingtonpost.com/world/2022/12/27/taiwan-military-mandatory-service-china/
Mainichi
Japan,
2022-12-28
The change is said to have come at the request of the United States
mainichi.jp/english/articles/20221227/p2g/00m/0in/058000c
GT (China), 2022-12-27
"a
deplorable decision" made under US
pressure
/
the DPP authorities might
incorporate some conscripts into the "cyber army" to engage in
collecting intelligence and conduct information warfare against the
mainland, given their relatively weak capabilities on the real
battlefield.
...expecting
that the US may ask Taiwan authorities to increase the defense
budget to purchase more US weapons and ensure the island's military
is in line with US strategy.globaltimes.cn/page/202212/1282753.shtml
12-27
Biden :
"U.S. forces, U.S. men and women
would defend Taiwan"
Chicago Tribune, 2022-9-23
Biden pokes at China again over Taiwan. At
what cost to US national interests?if
China needs to be confronted militarily (and that's
unlikely), Taiwan is precisely the wrong place to try to do thatchicagotribune.com/opinion/commentary/ct-opinion-taiwan-china-biden-tensions-20220922-tjd6rxcmozgunew3djsycoodsa-story.html
CNN
(US), 2022-9-20
looks like the US has moved from ambiguity to deterrence...
Biden's remarks don't necessarily equate to how he would behave
in a real crisis.
edition.cnn.com/2022/09/19/world/joe-biden-taiwan-answer-analysis/index.html
Washington Examiner (US),
2022-9-20
wrong to commit to Taiwan's defense unambiguously,
two
key concerns here.
(1) Taiwan's defense spending remains ludicrously low in
face of the existential threat it faces.
(2)
It's one thing to tell a pollster that you're willing to fight
and die for your country. It's a different thing to take
painstaking steps to prepare for that eventuality. And the hard
truth is that far too few Taiwanese are currently taking those
steps
msn.com/en-us/news/world/the-two-problems-with-bidens-taiwan-defense-pledge/ar-AA120KGw
Japan Times (Japan), 2022-9-20
Cornell
prof. called Biden's
remarks “dangerous",
this
new combo (a pledge to send troops + decisions about
independence are Taiwan’s) suggests an unconditional commitment,
U.S. is issuing Taiwan a blank check
japantimes.co.jp/news/2022/09/20/asia-pacific/politics-diplomacy-asia-pacific/biden-taiwan-remarks-uncertainty/
Bloomberg, 2022-9-20
“Such comments will do more to feed Beijing's
sense of urgency than they will bolster deterrence”
Taiwan's
leaders could move closer to independence
msn.com/en-us/news/world/biden-s-vow-to-defend-taiwan-makes-us-policy-shift-explicit/ar-AA123qxX
Politico,
2022-9-19
The big question is, what are the costs we're really willing to
pay?” Stanford's Skylar Mastro said.
politico.com/news/2022/09/19/biden-leaves-no-doubt-strategic-ambiguity-toward-taiwan-is-dead-00057658
Washington Post, 2022-9-19
Yet presidential pronouncements alone can only deter China so
much... Congress should provide Mr. Biden and his successors
with a stronger set of legislative instructions
washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/09/19/biden-china-taiwan-60-minutes/
DW
(Germany), 2022-9-19
scholars: "it
can lead to very different results than what Biden might be thinking he has the
capacity to do,"," US "strategic ambiguity is
becoming more strategic and less ambiguous."
dw.com/en/biden-us-forces-would-defend-taiwan-if-china-invades/a-63166248
Le Monde (France), 2022-9-19
Alors que l’occupant de la Maison Blanche a tenu des propos forts sur le
dossier taïwanais dimanche soir, la Chine a dénoncé « une grave
violation de [son] engagement important à ne pas soutenir l’indépendance
de Taïwan .
lemonde.fr/international/article/2022/09/19/joe-biden-affirme-que-les-etats-unis-defendraient-taiwan-en-cas-d-invasion-chinoise_6142183_3210.html
France
24 (France), 2022-9-19
most explicit statement so far on the issue,
something sure to anger Beijing.。Biden's
Asia policy czar, Kurt Campbell, has in the past rejected any move to
"strategic clarity" over Taiwan, saying there were "significant
downsides" to such an approach”msn.com/en-gb/news/world/biden-says-us-forces-would-defend-taiwan-if-china-invades/ar-AA11YIsO
Daily
Express (UK), 2022-9-19
Bonnie Glaser:
"
if Mr Biden makes such pledges he needs
the "capability" to back them up,
If President Biden plans to defend Taiwan, then he should
make sure the U.S. military has the capability to do so",
“"Rhetorical support
that isn't backed up by real capabilities is unlikely to strengthen
deterrence"
express.co.uk/news/world/1671100/Joe-Biden-Taiwan-China-Xi-Jinping-CBS-Nancy-Pelosi-White-House-ont
Bloomberg
(US), 2022-9-19
Expert Bonnie Glaser:
“China has long assumed that the US would intervene to defend
Taiwan, so these statements don’t change PLA plans”,Prof. Lev Nachman:
“The
worry is that this will exacerbate Taiwan's current high-tension moment
rather than reduce it.。”
Bloomberg msn.com/en-us/news/world/biden-says-us-would-defend-taiwan-from-unprecedented-attack/ar-AA11Yf55
Washington Post (US), 2022-9-19
Biden’s most hawkish comments on Taiwan yet / The
implications for that are huge. This is still in the realm of the
hypothetical, but it’s a majorly consequential hypothetical that now
includes a firm commitment — whether that firm commitment is technically
official policy or notwashingtonpost.com/politics/2022/09/19/biden-taiwan-china-defense/
Global Times (CHN) , 2022-9-19
his most explicit answer so far on the question, which analysts believe
suggested a shifting process in Washington's decades-long "strategic
ambiguity" policy ...not
only his personal views, but also those in his White House team and
various political forces on Capitol Hill. China clearly knows that
the US is trying to erode its "one-China policy." If the US moves
further toward such "strategic clarity" that is entirely targeted
against the Chinese mainland and supports Taiwan's pro-independence
behaviors, we will certainly have diplomatic, military and economic
countermeasures for them, Xin said.
globaltimes.cn/page/202209/1275600.shtml
The Conversation
(Australia),
2022-9-20
so does this support mean economic
aid, supply of weapons or U.S. boots on the ground? China and Taiwan are
left guessing if – and to what extent – the U.S. will be involved in any
China-Taiwan conflict.
news.yahoo.com/biden-again-indicates-us-defend-181440760.html
News
◆The Hill,
2023-1-23: the U.S. defense industrial base
is not currently equipped to support a protracted conventional war...How
do you effectively deter if you don’t have sufficient stockpiles of the
kinds of munitions you’re going to need for a China-Taiwan Strait kind
of scenario?◆
Modern War Institute at West
point, 2022-12-19:
Taiwan has mostly accepted the need to
shift to a “porcupine strategy” ... implementation has been
slow. And Taiwan has neglected to cultivate the guerrilla-style
resistance forces that will be necessary to counter an
occupation.◆Wall
Street Journal, 2023-1-26:
Will the U.S. Really Defend Taiwan?Washington is strategically unprepared for a crisis and Biden's
policies are hampering deterrence◆
Bloomberg, 2023-1-21:
A more
effective structure would de-emphasize vulnerable combat aircraft and surface
ships and emphasize instead land-based anti-air and anti-ship capabilities. This
is what some commentators have called the "porcupine strategy"
◆
New York Times, 2023-1-21:
Glaserwarns that
symbolic victories may
not be worth the cost of provoking China
... "But
the bottom line is, this is a fight over symbolism"
said Dan Blumenthal
◆
War On The Rocks, 2023-1-20:
Training, Not Arms Sales, Should Be the New Priority◆
USA Today, 2023-1-20:
Taiwan's envoy to the US says her island
has learned lessons from Ukraine's war that will help it deter, defend against
an attack by China. Among the lessons: preparing for the kind of all-of-society
fight Ukrainians are waging against Russia
◆
AFP, 2023-1-21: Blinken sees lower US tensions with China but risks on Taiwan◆ WSJ,
2023-1-19:
The Heritage Foundation's latest 'Index of U.S. Military
Strength' warns of declining power in the U.S. Navy and Air Force.
Taiwan is
ramping up its spending on defense but its conscription and readiness are
underwhelming.◆CNN, 2023-1-20: In
Taiwan, ex-conscripts feel unprepared for potential China conflict◆ Economist,
2023-1-19: TSMC is playing a subtle game of diplomacy in
which its business interests come first
◆
France 24, 2022-12-26:
Seventy-one
warplanes deployed by China in war drills
-
the
largest reported incursion to date
Can "silicon shield" protect
Taiwan?
New York Times,
2022-9-9
Taiwanis
protected by something far more subtle —The
"silicon shield"...If
it is clear that China will be better off with a steady flow of chips from
Taiwan, peace is likely to prevail
New York Times,
2022-8-29
Analysts debate how much
protection China's reliance on Taiwan gives
it. Some argue that calculations over
supply chains are insignificant in a decision over war.
National
Interest,
2022-5-15
Taiwan's
“silicon shield”—the name for a strategy that entrusts the island's
defense to both Chinese and American reliance on its semiconductors—is
an outmoded concept that burdens the United States, emboldens Taiwan,
and fails to deter China
VOA News,
2021-5-10
Song Hong, assistant general director at the
Institute of World Economics and Politics under the Chinese Academy of
Social Sciences shrugged off the
geopolitical implications of Taiwan’s silicon shield, saying that China
views Taiwanese issues as domestic affairs and will not be deterred from
its goals by U.S. action
Fox News,
2022-8-26
Why would the U.S. fight China over Taiwan, Trade is the key reason and
the aforementioned importance of semiconductor production is the glue
◆New
York Times, 2022-9-9:
Now,
Taiwanis protected by
the "silicon
shield"...“The most advanced category
of mass-produced semiconductors — is known as 5 nm. TaiwanTSMC makes about 90 percent of them. U.S. factories make
none.”If it is clear that China will be better off with a
steady flow of chips from Taiwan, peace is likely to prevail.nytimes.com/2022/09/09/business/silicon-markets-china-taiwan.html
Taiwan dominates
the global production of computer chips /
◆BBC, 2022-1-12,
source: The Military Balnce, IISS 2021
◆ New
York Times, 2022-1-25:75
percent of production takes place in East Asia.Ninety percent of the most advanced chips are made in
Taiwan...China
could use economic coercion, cyberoperations and hybrid tactics to try to
seize or harm Taiwan's semiconductor industry — Biden
promised he would work to bring production of semiconductor chips back to the
United States.
nytimes.com/2022/01/26/us/politics/computer-chip-shortage-taiwan.html
◆
CBS, 2022-7-8:
Taiwan accounts for 64% of the total
chip foundry market, according to data from TrendForce. Taiwan Semiconductor
Manufacturing Company, or TSMC, accounted for 53% of total foundry revenue in
2021, according to TrendForce.
cnbc.com/2022/07/08/why-tensions-between-china-and-taiwan-are-on-the-rise.html
Economist,
2022-3-12: Taiwan ranks top 10~11 on the
crony-capitalism index Rich folk in autocratic countries remain vulnerable to the whims
of dictators / Rent-seeking entrepreneurs tend to use their relationships with
the state to maximise profits. some are
characterised by the modern equivalent of the robber barons in
late-19th-century America.
Economist, The crony-capitalism index
Billionaire wealth as % of GDP, 2021 Ranked by
crony-sector wealth
1(1)
Russia
8(7)
Indonesia
2(2)
Malaysia
9(12)
Thailand
3(4)
Singapore
10(11)
China
4(3)
Philippines
11(10)
Taiwan
7(9)
India
20(19)
Japan
The crony-capitalism index
Billionaire wealth as % of GDP, 2016 Rankedby crony-sector
wealth
1
Russia
9
India
2
Malaysia
10
Taiwan
3
Philippines
11
China
4
Singapore
12
Thailand
7
Indonesia
19
Japan
Taiwan proposes large rise in defense spending
specifically to acquire new fighter jets and other projects to
boost naval and air capabilities
(news, 2022-8-25)
Taiwan vs. US
Taiwan VS. US's "porcupine" weapons
The
US disagrees Taiwan's
requests for big-ticket weapons
◆ Financial Times, 2022-8-19:Intensified
military pressure from China has reinforced Taiwan's
desire to acquire large weapons platforms such as warships and
fighters...widens
gulf on procurement policy between Taipei and its main arms
supplier
◆ Economist,
2022-5-10:These flashier purchases are politically
popular... Some of Taiwan’s political and military
leaders believe it is more important to counter such “grey zone”
attacks than to prepare for an invasion. A full-scale assault
has long been hypothetical, after all, while incursions have
increased every year ◆WEEK
(UK), 2022-5-12:
Taiwan
plans to
“throw a thousand tanks at the beachhead” in the event of a
Chinese invasion that could result in “brutal tank battles”
◆
United
Dialy (Taiwan), 2022-5-19
: Can the
guerrillas of Stinger missiles and Javelin missiles really block
the Russian main force in Ukraine?
◆
The China Times (Taiwan), 2021-10-26
:Urban
guerrilla warfare will turn cities into ruins and cause a large
number of civilian casualties。 ◆
Foreign Policy,
2020-8-20 :
“Their underlying thinking is that PLA
has grown to be too strong for us to fight militarily anyway...
Taiwan should just focus on putting up a good show of being
tough, buy enough U.S. weapons for display, and pray that
Americans come to our rescue
◆ Financial
Times,
2022-5-17:
Washington was right to
push Taipei to focus procurement more on the threat of invasion,
but that forcing its hand was counterproductive.
◆ War on the Rocks, 2022-8-22: flashy
F-16 sales do little to defend Taiwan from China's
missile force.warontherocks.com/2022/08/the-fourth-taiwan-strait-crisis-is-just-starting/
◆ Financial Times, 2022-8-19:Washington
is trying to force Taipei to prioritise “asymmetric” weapons — systems
that exploit an adversary’s weakness instead of trying to match its
strengths.
◆ Business Insider, 2022-8-21:
expensive equipment such as fighter jets, helicopters, and tanks to
prepare against a possible Chinese invasion, defense experts say these
would easily be destroyed by an attacker, according to the Journal's
report.businessinsider.com/taiwan-learns-ukraine-porcupine-strategy-defend-against-china-2022-8
◆ New York Times,
2022-5-7: USpresses Taiwan to buy
missiles and smaller arms for asymmetric warfare (Suited
to Win Against China); But some Taiwanese
defense officials are resistant. ◆
FoxNews,
2022-5-12: Taiwan may not have military equipment to defend itself against
Chinese invasion warns Rep. McCaul
◆
Politico,
2022-5-11: The Biden administration is rebuffing some of Taiwan’s requests
for big-ticket weapons,...these expensive
items, while fine for peacetime operations, would not survive an all-out
assault from the mainland. ◆Economist, 2022-5-10:
expensive conventional
equipment such as tanks, battleships and submarines—
are hard to hide and easy to strike with a missile—a "porcupine"
strategist would focus on agile and concealable weapons
◆
Politico,
2022-5-19:
the U.S. effort to reshape Taiwan’s military has
taken on new urgency since the Russian invasion...the
administration would no longer support arms sales for Taiwan “outside
their definition of ‘asymmetric’ defense,” ◆
WSJ ,
2022-5-8:
F-16s Are the Wrong Way for Taiwan to Defend Itself ◆
National Interest, 2022-5-15:
One important task has been to tailor the
provision of defensive weapons to the needs of Taiwan’s
military—procuring Stingers and Javelins rather than Abrams tanks and
Seahawk helicopters.
◆ Foreign Policy
, 2020-10-19 : Taiwan's
leaders have gravitated toward military showpieces
◆
Diplomat, 10-5-2020:
Taiwan needs mobile systems,long-range surveillance
armed drones...
China published a white paper titled
"The Taiwan Question and China's Reunification in the New Era"
GT, 2022-8-10
the
wellbeing
of the people in Taiwan hinges on the rejuvenation of the Chinese nation... it
will create huge opportunities for social and economic
development in Taiwan and bring tangible benefits to the people
of Taiwan。globaltimes.cn/page/202208/1272637.shtml
GT, 2022-8-24
The latest white paper actually
signals an invitation to the Taiwan compatriots to participate in the future
institutional arrangements,...Ironically, the
DPP does not allow Taiwan people to participate in the institutional
arrangements after reunificationglobaltimes.cn/page/202208/1273805.shtml
NY Times, 2022-8-15
The 2000
paper said nine times
that negotiations between Taiwan and China to determine that framework
would be conducted on “equal
footing,” or other similar language. But that pledge appeared
only once in the new paper
nytimes.com/2022/08/15/world/asia/china-taiwan-us.html
Reuters, 2022-8-10
A line in the 2000 white paper that said "anything can be
negotiated" as long as Taiwan accepts that there is only one China and does
not seek independence, is missing from the latest white paper.
reuters.com/world/asia-pacific/china-withdraws-promise-not-send-troops-taiwan-after-unification-2022-08-10/
Forbes,
Reuters, 2022-8-10
...in two
previous white papers on Taiwan, in 1993 and 2000, that it "will
not send troops or administrative personnel to be based in
Taiwan" after achieving unification ... is missing from the
latest white paper.
ABC news ,
Australia,
2022-8-11
China says there are
"profound historical and cultural
ties" with Taiwan..."Its economy is highly complementary with that of the mainland."...Taiwanese
citizens who would "enjoy a high degree of autonomy
as a special administrative region".
msn.com/en-au/news/australia/why-does-china-want-taiwan-when-its-already-so-big-and-rich-the-answer-is-about-more-than-land-and-money/ar-AA10z5KJ
NBC, 2022-8-10
... reiterated its desire
for “peaceful reunification.” But it did not rule out the use of
force as a “last resort taken under compelling circumstances,”
without specifying what those circumstances might be
nbcnews.com/news/world/is-taiwan-worried-china-threat-invasion-pelosi-visit-rcna41964
The white paper received a warm response and wide support from Chinese people at
home and abroad, and the DPP authorities' misinterpretation cannot deny that
"one country, two systems" is a
peaceful, democratic, good-faith and win-win solution
chinadaily.com.cn/a/202208/12/WS62f58be5a310fd2b29e71b7a.html
full text:
https://www.scio.gov.cn/zfbps/32832/Document/1728489/1728489.htm
Contrast
Taiwan Strait Crisis in
1996 and 2022
◆
New York Times, 2022-8-5
the U.S. military had
ordered the U.S.S. Ronald Reagan to
“remain on station” in the
region but some distance from the entrance to the Taiwan Strait.，...during
a crisis in 1996, when President Bill Clinton moved
aircraft carriers closer to the strait.
(PS:
and conducted large scale drills zh.m.wikipedia.org/zh-hant/台灣海峽飛彈危機)
nytimes.com/2022/08/04/world/asia/taiwan-china-military-drills.html
◆
New York Times, 2022-8-4
... failing to move more naval
forces into the region, the United States would be perceived by Mr. Xi
as less committed to the region than Mr. Clinton was a quarter century
ago.
◆
United Daily (Taiwan) , 2022-8-5
The drill has been conducted under US tacit permission,
which
shakes the policy of peaceful
resolution...
udn.com/news/story/11091/6515486?from=udn_ch2cate6643sub11091_pulldownmenu_v2
◆ USA Today, 2022-8-6
National Security Council:U.S.
would postpone intercontinental ballistic missile test scheduled...
reducing the risks of miscalculation and misperceptionnews.yahoo.com/china-halts-climate-military-ties-152347684.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
◆ Global Times
(China), 2022-8-5
the US Navy's Ronald Reagan carrier strike group retreated
hundreds of kilometers eastward overnight, after the PLA
announced live-fire exercise zones east of the island。
China's
Missiles over Taiwan
in 2022-8-5
◆CNN, 2022-8-4
missiles flying over the island marked a significant escalation
◆
New York Times, 2022-8-3
China's
CCTV stated that one of the missiles flew over
Taiwan, marking another escalation of Chinese pressure on the
island and risking serious miscalculation.
◆
New York Times, 2022-8-25
sending at least four
high over the island itself, according to Japan
◆
War on the Rocks, 2022-8-22
Some five to nine missiles passed over Taiwan
en route to targets east of the main island
News
◆TIME,
2023-1-7: the threat of a costly armed
engagement may encourage Beijing to pursue non-military scenarios to try to
coerce Taiwan under its control. ◆Washington
Post, 2023-1-9:
Taiwan needs to be prepared to withstand a lengthy siege
but has not stockpiled nearly enough energy, food, medicine or ammunition. It
has only about 10
days of natural gas supplies in reserve... Unfortunately, a lot of Taiwanese still
don’t seem to grasp how perilous their situation is. ◆ CNN,
2023-1-9: CSIS War game suggests Chinese invasion of Taiwan would fail at a huge
cost to US, Chinese and Taiwanese militaries ◆
The WEEK (UK), 2023-1-10: Bloomberg:“calls
growing” among American politicians for a commitment to get involved if Beijing
invades the island. ◆
Forbes,
2023-1-9: the
extended-range JASSM-ER that helped to win the war
in CSISWar
game ◆Asia Nikkei,
2023-1-6:
reserves, supposedly 2 million strong, are
a paper force, with "no way whatsoever" to reinforce existing units in combat ◆The
American SPECTATOR,
2023-1-5:
coming crisis over Taiwan
is now popularly treated as a foregone conclusion...What
is more likely is that China will wait a while longer, probably until the early
2030s.◆Forbes,
2023-1-2: Economics, often
takes a back seat to geopolitics and national pride (questions
of sovereignty and the hyper-sensitivities of China's
leadership) ◆The Hill, 2023-1-3: America's
‘strategic ambiguity’ on Taiwan gets more dangerous by the day◆Financial
Times, 2023-1-2:
Taiwan's move to extend military
conscription will not address broader strategic shortfalls...
expert has
long urged them to build a territorial defence force, a force which could
operate as an urban guerrilla under a more decentralised command◆The Guardian, 2023-1-1: Ukraine
is in the headlines now. But a whole new world of conflict is about to erupt，Taiwan,
North Korea, Iran and Palestine are all potential flashpoints
◆The
Hill, 2022-12-30:
Mark Esper says Taiwan is “not prepared enough” for a potential
Chinese invasion◆ The Guardian, 2022-12-30: Extending conscription may make Taiwan feel safer – but at the cost of
alienating its young people◆
Deutsche Welle,
2022-12-30:
US support for Taiwan is double edged: both essential to its
survival, and risking dragging Taiwan into a much bigger conflict.
Washington Post,
2022-8-17: if there's
a crisis on Taiwan, Americans say~
(msn.com/en-us/news/world/what-americans-think-about-china-and-taiwan/ar-AA10L80C)
65 percent
support sending additional arms and
military equipment to Taiwan
62 percent
support having the U.S. Navy prevent China
from imposing a blockade around Taiwan
only 40 percent
favor sending U.S. troops to help the
Taiwanese government defend itself.
46 percent of Americans were willing to
explicitly commit to defend Taiwan from attack.
China's"staging
the largest-ever People's Liberation Army exercises around
Taiwan" (Newsweek,2022-8-5)
WHY ??
NY Times, 2022-8-25
They
were meant to intimidate Taiwan and the United Statesnytimes.com/interactive/2022/08/25/world/asia/china-taiwan-conflict-blockade.html
NY Times, 2022-8-4
Stanford scholar:
“Under the guise of signaling, they’re trying to basically test
their ability to conduct complex maneuvers that are necessary
for an amphibious assault on Taiwan.”
nytimes.com/2022/08/03/world/asia/taiwan-china-military-exercises.html
Business Insider,
2022-8-5
"a show of
force to respond to Pelosi's visit" and "to exhibit [China's]
displeasure" and "presumably to deter the US or other countries
from undertaking visits like this
..." "readiness to
respond to Taiwan provocations"
news.yahoo.com/chinas-missile-launches-military-drills-211102958.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
AFP (France),
2022-8-6
a former CIA Asia
analyst: main purpose
with its military exercises was to change that status quo.，"The Chinese want to show... that a line has been crossed by the speaker's
visit." American University Professor:
Beijing's message was
meant to signal that China can alter the power balance in the
region if it chooses."The Chinese
seriously believe that the United States has not been respecting
their interests on the Taiwan issue"
news.yahoo.com/us-china-relations-risk-long-215317757.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
Some Taiwan-based media hyped that
the mainland's economic punishment could antagonize the public..."If the mainland opts for
economic sanctions, it may terminate the Economic Cooperation
Framework Agreement (ECFA)"...Taiwan had a trade surplus of more than $170 billion with the Chinese mainland
in 2021.globaltimes.cn/page/202208/1272245.shtml
NY Times, 2022-8-8
not only to intimidate Taiwan and the
United States, but also to appease a domestic audience that had
seemed disappointed by what it perceived as an insufficiently
bellicose posture. cn.nytimes.com/asia-pacific/20220808/china-exercises-taiwan/zh-hant/dual/
BBC, 2022-8-9
this may possibly intimidate South East
Asian neighbours which have rival claims to the South China Seabbc.com/news/62460809
PS:
◆
Wall Street
Journal,2022-9-19:
China Is Capable of Blockading
Taiwan, U.S. Navy Commander
Says◆NY Times, 2022-8-29: Analysts debate how much
protection China’s reliance on Taiwan gives it. Some argue that
calculations over supply chains are insignificant in a decision
over war◆
SCMP, 2022-8-21: PLA
adopts nuclear deterrence to stop foreign intervention on
Taiwan: analysts◆
NY Times, 2022-8-11: Taiwan, which has struggled with accidents and
morale in the face of such a would-be foe as China. By many accounts, Taiwan's
forces are poorly equipped and understaffed
◆
Economist, 2022-8-10: Ms Pelosi's visit has
allowed Beijing to move to a new level of military activity
unchallenged, which will make it harder for America to defend
Taiwan. ◆Washington Post, 2022-8-11: Beijing is now
focusing on taking the island by force, not through peaceful
reunification◆New York Times, 2022-8-7:After
China's Military Spectacle, Options
Narrow for Winning Over Taiwan
; ◆Reuters, 2022-8-7:The
ability to enforce a blockade would give Beijing leverage to
bring Taiwan to the negotiating table ;A
former Chinese defence official :"Seeing
how the U.S. and its allies responded to the drills, how
confident can Taiwan leaders be in counting on them to come to
the rescue should the PLA attack?"
WHY? Taiwanese people
"don't worry"
China's"the
largest and most sophisticated military exercises" around Taiwan
island ??
CNN, 2022-8-8:Taiwan's foreign minister says
: "I
worry that China may really
launch a war against Taiwan,";
But
the
mood in Taiwan
remained calm,
with life carrying on as usual with
packed restaurants
and crowded public transport.
♣ NBC,
2022-8-10: nbcnews.com/news/world/is-taiwan-worried-china-threat-invasion-pelosi-visit-rcna41964
A:
many residents say they are used to
intimidation by Beijing ..."
I don't think China will attack because our rockets can also
reach Beijing and Shanghai"
; Experts: many residents in Ukraine
reacted
with disbelief to
Russia's long-signaled invasion...whether
Taiwan is being too complacent.?
people in Taiwan need to take this more seriously, they don't
fully appreciate the circumstance they're in,”...
♣ New York Times,
2022-8-9:
many watching from outside
Taiwan seemed to expect Taiwanese to be “hysterically”
stockpiling food and crafting evacuation plans
... a Taiwanese girl says: "Taiwanese people appearing
calm in the face of rising tension is not due to ignorance or
naïveté, but because this is accepted — even
internalized — as a part of being Taiwanese”.
♣
United Daily (Taiwan )
,
2022-8-11:
A poll showed
that about 60% of the respondents were not worried about further
military conflict between mainland China and Taiwan,
which surprised foreign media, Some posts on the net
reflect what Taiwanese people's thought, "because China PLA
won't attack us", " we are used to it" ," we have been
intimidated two or three times per year" ... It appears too many
intimidations made our people NUMB !
PS: NDTV, 2022-8-25:
Taiwan Army Reservists Stoic
But "Not Ready" For War Against China ndtv.com/world-news/taiwan-army-reservists-stoic-but-not-ready-for-war-against-china-3284620
War
on Taiwan
◆ Foreign
Policy,2022-9-8: strategic priorities, budgets, and
acquisition limitations, are preventing Taipei from laying in
the critical war-reserve materiel it would need
to against PLA ◆ War on the Rocks,
2022-9-7: In Taiwan, many
young citizens concluded thatconscriptionwas a waste of time and a tedious chore....those
with political connections seek to be posted in cities rather than at the border
or in the field. ◆
Bloomberg , 2022-9-7: China Invading Taiwan
Is ‘Distinct Threat’◆
Weekend Australian , 2022-9-7: Best way to avoid war is to arm Taiwan ◆ NY Times, 2022-9-4: Washington is increasingly wary
that an emboldened China might invade Taiwan in the coming years.◆
full text
Pelosi
visiting Taiwan
CNN, 2022-7-29:
potentially triggering
the worst cross-strait crisis in decades
NY Times, 2022-8-2
China is preparing a hostile response of
some sort...This is an exceptionally
dangerous situation, perhaps more so than Ukraine,...Much
of America’s military industrial complex is busy arming Ukraine,
which could hamper efforts to bolster weapons shipments to
Taiwan.
nytimes.com/2022/08/01/us/politics/taiwan-pelosi.html
CNN,
2022-8-2
China's eventual response -- perhaps, for
example, an incursion into Taiwanese airspace, was unlikely to
cause a war but would push the rivals closer to a danger zone.edition.cnn.com/2022/08/02/politics/pelosi-taiwan-risks-greater-instability-us-china-analysis/index.html
NY Times, 2022-7-28
Nancy Pelosi's
Trip to Taiwan Is Too Dangerous!The United States and China are on a collision
course in the Taiwan Straitnytimes.com/2022/07/28/opinion/china-us-taiwan-pelosi.html
NY Times, 2022-7-31
Mr. Xi may feel pressure to show a tough
stance — possibly including military action...ahead
of an important Chinese Communist Party Congress this fall.
The Biden administration has
grown increasingly worried that
China’s leader, Xi Jinping, might try to move, perhaps with
force, against Taiwan within the next year and a half.nytimes.com/2022/07/31/world/asia/pelosi-taiwan-china.html
Global
Times (China), 2022-7-28
China's
defense ministry issues fresh, rare warning:
The US should not underestimate the crisis and possible
disastrous results it will bring to the Taiwan Straits if Pelosi
ultimately makes the trip...
if the US does not pull back but keeps challenging the
guardrail, the price will be beyond US capabilities to pay"...
The
rare expressions "yanzhen yidai"
(嚴陣以待),
PLA
"will not sit idly by"
(不會坐視)
were used (in Korea war and Vietnam
war).“
- China
will not sit idly by if US troops crossed the 38th parallel.
globaltimes.cn/page/202207/1271693.shtml
中囯
Global Times, 2022-7-28
Those who play with fire will perish by it. It is hoped that the
US will be clear-eyed about this," Xi said via telephone,... it
is certain that if Pelosi insists on her provocative plan of
visiting Taiwan, she will face serious and unbearable
consequences. globaltimes.cn/page/202207/1271696.shtml
GT(China),
2022-7-29
it is time for Washington to slam on the brake of its radical
moves on the Taiwan question!
NBC
News, 2022-7-29
GT
former editor : "If the US can't
restrain her (Pelosi), let China
restrain her & punish her","PLA Air
Force will surely make her visit a disgrace to herself and to
the US."
nbcnews.com/politics/congress/pelosi-leading-delegation-asia-friday-taiwan-visit-still-undecided-rcna40535
Guardian, 2022-7-31
Nancy Pelosi confirms Asia trip but does
not mention Taiwan...analysts say she
may yet do so in unofficial capacity
theguardian.com/us-news/2022/jul/31/nancy-pelosi-confirms-asia-trip-but-does-not-mention-taiwan
TIME,
2022-7-28
there's
a good chance that Beijing could sanction Pelosi personally...time.com/6201447/joe-biden-xi-jinping-taiwan-china/
NPR,
2022-7-28
President Biden
looks to ease tensions with Xi over Taiwan npr.org/2022/07/28/1114314905/biden-and-chinas-xi-discuss-tensions-over-taiwan
Reuters(UK),
2022-7-29
"So far, there are few
indications in Chinese official statements, nor online or
domestic media, which would suggest that China is considering
more serious military action at this time, although that could
change" news.yahoo.com/analysis-despite-xis-fire-call-003612894.html
★New
York Times,
2022-8-18:
Taiwanese
cuisine — layered, distinct, multiethnic ...has been shaped by many
cultural forces, including the island's Indigenous tribes,
long-established groups of Fujianese and Hakka people; Japanese ;
Chinese immigrants in 1949+...
nytimes.com/2022/08/16/dining/taiwanese-cuisine.html
China's possible response to
Pelosi's trip to Taiwan
US News, 2022-7-19
China Signals a Military Response to a Taiwan Visit by Pelosi
NY Times, 2022-7-25
...Pelosi's trip. Better to postpone
rather than risk war.
Washington Post, 2022-7-23
Key U.S. allies in Asia have expressed concerns
about a visit that they believe will be viewed provocativelywashingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/23/pelosi-taiwan-trip-biden-military-concerns/
Washington Post, 2022-7-21
Biden: U.S. military opposes Nancy Pelosi visiting Taiwan
washingtonpost.com/politics/2022/07/21/biden-china-nancy-pelosi-taiwan-military/
Washington Post, 2022-7-22
The U.S. military certainly is not prepared to
fight two major wars simultaneously washingtonpost.com/opinions/2022/07/22/nancy-pelosi-should-ignore-china-biden-go-to-taiwan/
EurAsia Times, 2022-7-23
US Worried That China Could...Shoot-Down ‘Invading’ Aircraft
France24, 2022-7-25
Biden's administration which fears the trip may cross red lines for
China -- and that there is no exit path ... China
might feel that they have to do something dramatic
france24.com/en/live-news/20220725-as-pelosi-eyes-taiwan-trip-us-anxious-on-china-red-lines
CNN, 2022-7-22
China could seek to declare a no-fly
zone over Taiwan...China could also respond by flying fighter
jets further into Taiwan's self-declared air defense zone, which could
trigger a response from Taiwan and the US
edition.cnn.com/2022/07/21/politics/pelosi-taiwan-china-concerns/index.html
FT,2022-7-25
Taiwan fears fallout from planned Nancy Pelosi
visit threatens US security commitment ...
China
might retaliate against Taiwan if Pelosi went ahead with her trip. ft.com/content/8145aa97-1c46-4e5e-9ec8-1afa139a4a54
Global Times (China), 2022-7-25
Pelosi's visit may accelerate a
military showdown globaltimes.cn/page/202207/1271380.shtml
Global Times (China), 2022-7-22
"...extremely drastic diplomatic and military measures against the US, and
the US cannot afford to face such a response"..."Biden's
reaction suggested that
the conclusion from military is very likely definitive and it will amount to cancelling Pelosi's trip."
globaltimes.cn/page/202207/1271152.shtml
Global Times (China), 2022-7-19
If Pelosi goes to Taiwan, it
will be a huge historic mistake for Washington...Defense
Minister Wei Fenghe (Jun.2022): "If anyone dares to secede Taiwan from
China, we will not hesitate to fight, and we will fight at all costs."
"It would be a huge historic mistake for Washington to let these words
fall on deaf ears."
Bloomberg, 2022-7-22
responses from China: Missile Test Near Taiwan or
Flying Over Taiwan or Shadowing Pelosi’s Trip, etc
finance.yahoo.com/news/china-might-respond-taiwan-visit-102743247.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
◆
NY Times, 2022-7-25:
Chinese leaders might try
to move against the self-governing island over the next year and a half
— perhaps by trying to cut off access to all or part of the Taiwan
Strait
◆ New York Times, 2022-7-26:
The risks to Taiwan from Chinese aggression have
gained urgency since Russia's attacks on Ukraine...a sea-and-air invasion of Taiwan
would be difficult for China to pull off in the near term. Instead, it could
do so piecemeal ◆The Hill , 2022-7-26:
The longer the Biden administration
continues delaying and stinting its support for Ukraine without enabling
Kyiv to halt and reverse Russia's invasion, the
more precarious both Ukraine's and Taiwan's
positions become
◆ CNN,2022-7-25: Under Xi, a rising wave of nationalism has swept
China, and support for "reuniting" with Taiwan — possibly by force — is
running high ◆ Washington Post, 2022-7-23:
Many Asian leaders have voiced fears that Russia’s
effort to take over Ukraine could embolden China to move aggressively into
Taiwan◆ le Monde (France), 2022-7-21:
China
appears determined on using force in Taiwan◆
DW (Germany),2022-7-22: Japan defense report warnsRussia's invasion of Ukraine could encourage
China to act against Taiwan◆ Business Insider, 2022-7-21: CIA chief: the
Ukraine war likely won't shake China's resolve to
invade Taiwan◆ FoxNews, 2022-7-20:
CIA director 'wouldn't rule out' near-term Taiwan invasion◆
Asia Nikkei (Japan), 2022-7-20:
Taiwan's ex-defense chief calls for sweeping military
reforms◆ FoxNews, 2022-7-7:
Chinese diplomat says 'reunification' with Taiwan near
◆
full text
\
Taiwan's travel & tourism -
13th in
Asia
STATISTA: Leading
countries in the Travel
& Tourism Competitiveness Index (TTCI)
Published by Statista Research Department, Feb
4, 2021
World Economic Forum (WEF) <Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>released at 9-4-2019 shows
Taiwan had the sub-region's largest
decline in competitiveness from 30th
down to 37th.
Taiwan ranks
No.10 among Asian countries.
for details : click
tourism
WEF travel & tourism
category
Taiwan's rankings and/or score
comparison
prioritization of travel and
tourism
No75
Singapore No.6 , Hong Kong
No. 11
Natural & cultural resources
No.58 score 2.6
China No.1, score 6.0 ,
France No.2, 5.0,
Spain No.3, 5.7, Japan
No.7, 5.3, Indonesia No.18,
Thailand No.21, Korea No.24,
Vietnam No.26, Malaysia No.31,
HK No.40, Philippines No.46,
Sri Lanka No.52, Nepal No.56
Natural resources
No. 87
Hong Kong No. 42, Singapore
No.120
cultural resources & business
travel
No. 36 score 2.6
China No1, score 7.0
price competitiveness
No. 78
China 5.7
Health & Hygiene
No.43, score 6
score worse than Korea, Japan,
Mongolia
international openness
No. 60
only better than China, Mongolia
Safety & security
No. 26
human resource & labor market:
Taiwan No.18
ps: Compared to the report of 2017, Taiwan significantly tightened
visa requirements (37th down
to 119th), waning cultural
resources and business
travel (26th to 36th) and
recalibrated figures showing
a drastic reduction in
protected areas (20th to
118th).
According to
World Economic Forum (WEF) <Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>(released at 4-6-2017),
Taiwan's
most important indexes for
promoting tourism, like "Attractiveness
of Natural Assets" (parks, beaches,
mountains, wildlife, etc) ranks
world
No.87, "Natural Resources" ranks
No.55, "Environmental Sustainability" ranks No.75 (No.69
in 2015), "Price Competitiveness"
ranks
No. 46, "Hotel Price Index" ranks No.
89 (82 in 2015), Taiwan got "n/a" on China's world top 5 indexes such as
"World
heritage natural sites" as well as
"World heritage cultural sites".
comment
Taiwan travel and tourism, No.1 on
internet, pls. click for details
Taiwan's travel & tourism -
not on top 10 list
The World
Tourism rankings
are compiled by the United
NationsWorld
Tourism Organization
Most visited destinations by international tourist
arrivals
en.wikipedia.org/wiki/World_Tourism_rankings
Asia Pacific Rank
destination (country)
int'l tourists arrivals '19
(million)
int'l tourists arrivals '18
(million)
1
China
65.7 million
62.9 million
2
Thailand
39.8
38.2
3
Japan
32.2
31.2
4
Malaysia
26.1
25.8
5
Hong Kong
23.8
29.3
6
Macau
18.6
18.5
7
Vietnam
18.0
15.5
8
India
17.9
17.4
9
S. Korea
17.5
15.3
10
Indonesia
15.5
13.4
Taiwan's tourism & travel vs.
CovID-19
◆ Reuters, 2022-9-5:Taiwan to resume visa free entry for some countries in latest
reopening step
news.yahoo.com/taiwan-resume-visa-free-entry-063459045.html?fr=sycsrp_catchall
◆
fights for rights
Chinese
version
© 
European
