China No.1, score 6.0 , France No.2, 5.0, Spain
No.3, 5.7, Japan No.7, 5.3, Indonesia No.18, Thailand No.21, Korea
No.24, Vietnam No.26, Malaysia No.31, HK No.40, Philippines No.46,
Sri Lanka No.52, Nepal No.56
Natural resources
台灣排名No. 87
Hong Kong No. 42, Singapore No.120 缺乏自然資源 比台灣更糟 但觀光仍比台灣表現亮眼
cultural resources & business travel
台灣排名No. 36 score 2.6
China No1, score 7.0
price competitiveness 價格競爭度
台灣排名No. 78
China 5.7
Health & Hygiene 健康衛生
台灣排名No.43, score 6
score worse than Korea, Japan, Mongolia衛生健康指數 輸給蒙古 韓國
international openness 國際開放度
台灣排名No. 60
only better than China, Mongolia 開放程度只贏中國與蒙古
Safety & security
台灣排名No. 26
human resource & labor market: Taiwan No.18
ps: Compared to the report of 2017, Taiwan significantly tightened
visa requirements (37th down to 119th), waning cultural resources
and business travel (26th to 36th) and recalibrated figures showing
a drastic reduction in protected areas (20th to 118th).
根據
World Economic Forum (WEF) <Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>(released at 4-6-2017),
國際觀光旅遊 的重要指標,如 "自然景觀的吸引力Attractiveness
of Natural Assets" (公園parks, 海濱beaches,
山景mountains, 野生動物wildlife, etc) 台灣排名世界
No.87, "Natural Resources" 台灣排名No.55, "環境永續Environmental Sustainability"
台灣排名 No.75 (No.69
in 2015), "價格競爭力Price Competitiveness"
台灣排名No. 46, "旅館價格Hotel Price Index"
台灣排名
89 (82 in 2015), 中國大陸強項如
"世界級自然景點World
heritage natural sites" as well as
"世界級文化景點World heritage cultural sites"台灣都沒有列入排名.
亞太軟實力
Till 2020,
Taiwan has not been included in Monocle's Soft Power survey ranking list,
so Taiwan's soft power is behind Asian's "world top 20" nations
, including Japan, South Korea, Australia, Singapore, New Zealand,
China, India, UAE.
for details : click
Soft Power
world best surveys
台灣軟實力排名
top 25~30 list ?
亞太國家
軟實力排名
2019/2020
Top 30 SOFT POWER by Portland
未中選
No. 8 日本Japan, No.9 澳洲Australia,
No. 17 New Zealand, No. 19
南韓 S Korea, No. 21
新加坡Singapore, No. 27
中國China
★
According to a survey of 2020,
Singapore ranks No.1, Japan No.7, Korea
No. 9 on "enterprise", Japan ranks
No. 5, China No.10 on "engagement",
Korea ranks No. 5 on "digital", Japan
ranks No.6, China No. 8 on "culture", No
any Asian country ranks top 10 on
"education" and "govt."
★ Best Countries overall in 2020: 1 Swiss 2 Canada 3
Japan 4 Germany 5 Australia 6 UK 7 USA 8 Sweden
9 Nederland 10 Norway 11 NZ 12 France 13 Denmark 14
Finland 15 China 16 Singapore 17 Italy 18 Austria 19 Spain
20 Korea 21 Luxembourg 22 UAE 23 Russia 24 Portugal
25 India 26 Thailand 27 Greece 28 Brazil 29 Israel 30 Qatar
31 Saudi Arabia 32 Malaysia 33 Mexico 34 Poland 35 Turkey
●
livable?
台灣
適宜居住
?
L
世界宜居城市城市指數
排名
world's most livable cities
... and Taiwan
◆
台灣軍方是"空心彈";
美國國防部官員私下對台灣部隊和後備軍表達了悲觀的評估Taiwan’s
Military Is a Hollow Shell. US Defense Department officials have
privately expressed dismal assessments regarding Taiwan's current force
level and reserve system.
◆
募兵制等因素使台灣裝甲兵，機械化步兵和火砲部隊的人力總是極度短缺
armor, mechanized infantry, and artillery units are always in desperate
shortage of enlisted soldiers
◆
台灣很少有前線部隊
能補到80％的
兵員職缺 few front-line units have more than 80 percent of their
positions filled
/
Foreign
Policy, 2-15-2020
◆
台灣政客害怕討論動員後備軍人，因為他們認為台灣人民不願犧牲生命...
/
英國 Financial Times , 7-12-2020
Full text: www.ft.com/content/92029f49-3e9a-47b7-b967-2af823f185cd
◆
台灣正規軍被砍半不到20萬
(the exact number is
classified). 約二百萬後備軍人如同虛設 ... /
New York times, 5-18-2017
◆ The ROC
(Taiwan) Armed Forces number approximately 300,000,
and reserves reportedly total 3,870,000.
/
Wikipedia,
May 2020
戰略
◆
應對中共的網絡戰, 認知洗腦戰, 超限戰,
台灣必須著重機動戰, 非對稱戰(非傳統武器) 反制解放軍 To against the threats of cyber warfare,
cognitive warfare, and ‘unrestricted’ warfare from China , we
( Taiwan
) work to bolster our defense capabilities, future combat capacity
development will also emphasize mobility, countermeasures, and
non-traditional, asymmetrical capabilities (unconventional arms)” /
Taiwan president inauguration speech, Voice of American, 5-20-2020
◆
國軍近年標榜「發展不對稱戰力」，都是表面功夫。／ 聯合報社論／
2020-06-06
火力
◆
Today China has more and better
conventional forces than Taiwan. /
Forbes, 6-3-2020
中共有原子彈、核子彈、氫彈,
台灣的雲峰導彈測試完成, 需500枚才可戰略嚇阻 /
Next
TV news, 5-8-2020
◆
李登輝後期、陳水扁、蔡英文持續揮霍「沒有和平的和平紅利」,
造成當下台灣國防的最大難題
― 預算不足。 /
聯合報 社
論
,
6-6-2020
◆
Taiwan military strength is ranked No. 26 , China PLA No. 3
/
Global FirePower, 2020
◆
強國不想得罪中國,
因此軍售猶豫
A major obstacle is that countries that might sell it the most
sophisticated weaponry are increasingly reluctant to do so for fear of
provoking China, ... /
New York times, 11-4-2017
◆
台灣政府未正 視中国不斷增強的威脅，
且假設美國一定會出兵解救台湾，國民黨及民進黨的政策，皆導致 軍力不足
、且士氣低落。...
(brief) /
New York times, 5-18-2017
◆
面對中共加劇的軍事恫嚇, 台灣感到恐
懼 Taiwan fears uptick in military threat from China in wake of
coronavirus epidemic ... / 英國Financial Times
5-19-2020
★
華盛頓郵報 7-22-2020:
中共政府面臨鷹派和民族主義者越來越多的呼籲，要掌握當前奪取台灣的戰略時機，台外長形容台灣是"易宰羔羊"(
an extremely convenient sacrificial lamb)， '19年1月習近平已向台灣提出了最後通牒 ◆
LOWY institute 7-17-2020: 台灣在兩岸關係上躡手躡腳
◆ TIME, 7-22-2020:
台灣人不太支持統一，而習近平奉行自信的外交政策，人們猜測他可能會進行軍事行動
◆
SCMP 7-22-2020:
習近平可能計劃在五到十年內統一，但是當前中美緊張關係可能迫使“統一進程加快” ◆ 英國 SUN, 7-22-2020:
從長期趨勢看來，中共正逐步加強軍事衝突準備， 美國警告中共誤算的風險大增 ◆ 英國 Daily Mail, 7-22-2020:
解放軍入侵頻率比台灣政府向媒體披露的"更加頻繁”(幾乎每日)。◆ 英國
Daily
Express 7-21-2020:
WAR will break out between
China and the US in the South China Sea if Beijing violates the alliance
agreement between America and Taiwan ◆ Bloomberg 7-20-2020:
毫無疑問，北京在等待美國總統大選的結果，然後決定下一步的重要行動 ◆ National Interest, 7-18-2020:
武統台灣遠比收回香港要困難和昂貴，但北京認為這筆費用必要，而且樂意支付。除非美國束手無策，否則台灣將是下一個香港 ◆
Forbes, 7-18-2020:
北京攻台須閃擊獲勝 ，若拖延數天 ，美軍可能插手◆ Washington
Post 7-7-2020: HK national security law could serve as a blueprint for
dealing with Taiwan ... China has
arguably moved a step closer to preparing for war with the
island democracy 港國安法可作治台藍圖 ，
並為備戰跨進一步◆New York Times,
7-2-2020: The possibility of a military conflict between China and
Taiwan remains remote, experts say, because the costs for Beijing would be
extraordinary, including significant casualties and damage to its
international standing. Yet the two sides are moving farther and farther
apart, with little appetite for compromise.
兩岸軍事衝突的可能性仍偏低，因為北京須付的代價不菲，包括大量傷亡和國際地位的損害。然而，雙方漸行漸遠，都不願妥協。◆英國
Express
(UK) 6-30-2020直言:
如果中共攻打台灣， 美國不會拯救台灣 (
China
attack on Taiwan will NOT be salvaged by US in major new warning )。◆
New York Times, 7-2-2020:
港版國安法引發台灣擔憂恐懼 。◆Foreign
Affairs,
6-18-2020: A strategic miscalculation might involve Chinese leaders
choosing to blockade or attack Taiwan in the near term or midterm based on a
set of strongly held beliefs about the United States as a declining power
...
◆ New York Times, 6-26-2020: China’s
Military Provokes Its Neighbors, but the Message Is for the United States...
When China views it is being challenged in these other sovereignty disputes
in this era, it will respond with a very tough line, ... the possibility of confrontation would increase as the U.S.
presidential campaign heated up.
中共挑釁 實則傳遞訊息給美國
如主權受到挑戰 中国將非常強硬回應 ◆
New York Times, 6-21-2020: It’s a quite deliberate Chinese strategy to try
to maximize what they perceive as being a moment of distraction and the
reduced capability of the United States to pressure neighbors...
◆ National Interest, 6-16-2020:
超過60.3％台灣人民反對台灣獨立，如果會引起共軍武力犯台;
The Hill, 6-16-2020: ASL提供解放軍攻台的法律基礎 ―
台湾宣布正式獨立、或拖延統一過久
◦
L.
A. Times, 6-8-2020: China reins in nationalists clamoring for an invasion of Taiwan.
Forbes,
6-7-2020: China’s
impressive array of new warships, and the expanding capabilities they bring,
adds a lot to the credibility of the military scenario...
but “Taking Taiwan would be the one of the most difficult amphibious operations
in history...".
中国令人印象深刻的新型驅逐艦和護衛艦力足以包圍台灣
台灣海軍難以超越但台灣将是歷史上最困难的两棲作戰之一; New
York Times, 6-6-2020:
Voters in Taiwan Oust a Pro-China
Mayor ... reflects a stunning reversal and a hardening of Taiwan’s attitude
toward China
. The
diplomat 6-3-2020:
the 3 flashpoints
(Taiwan, HK, S. China Sea)
that could turn a US-China cold war hot ... dangerously close to a
tipping point where even a small
action would serve as a catalyst that lets slip the dogs of war.
台灣問題可能惡化中美冷戰為熱戰 目前已接近引爆点
稍微擦槍走火可能演變成大屠殺 Express
(UK), 6-3-2020: South China Sea warning: All-out war fears erupt as Beijing
rejects Taiwan peace plan.Financial
Times 6-3-2020 : shrill rhetoric would make many believe that an assault on Taiwan could
be imminent... Washington Post,
5-30-2020: The
threat, China's vows to 'smash' any Taiwan independence move as Trump weighs
sanctions, raised the prospect of a regional conflict that could draw in the
United States......the rapid deterioration in relations, already
at their worst in decades.中共誓言“堅決粉碎”台灣獨立
...中美關係迅速惡化，是數十年來最嚴重情況Economist: 5-29-2020 How far will China go?
China has launched rule by fear not just over Hong Kong, but also over the South
China Sea and Taiwan. 中共威懾統治令台灣感到懼怕Epoch Times,
5-30-2020, S. Bannon: there are forces in Washington DC pushing the United
States to establish formal diplomatic relations with Taiwan.
Reuters 5-22-2020:
大陸兩會(5-22-2020) 開幕一反40年慣例, 不提"和平"、只講"統一",
兩岸關係螺旋下降 In
the annual meeting of China’s parliament,
there was no mention of the word "peaceful" in front of
“reunification”, departing from the standard expression Chinese leaders have
used for at least four decades, an
apparent policy shift that comes as ties with Taipei continue on a downward
spiral. L.A.
Times 5-20-2020: the ruling Democratic
Progressive Party advocates Taiwan’s formal independence, something
Beijing says it will use force to prevent.
Foreign Policy 5-20-2020: Tsai
I .W. : Taiwan
would reject being ruled by China in the same way Hong Kong is now.
The Guardian, 5-20-2020: Beijing also responded swiftly to Tsai’s speech and
said China would never leave any room for “Taiwan independence separatist
activities”. Washington Post, 5-21-20: As U.S.-China
rhetoric grows harsher, new risks emerge with Taiwan drawn into the mix.
Financial Times 5-19-2020 : Taiwan fears uptick in military threat from
China in wake of coronavirus epidemic. New York Times,
5-12-2020, Pew Research Center:
(Taiwanese) 52%
support closer economic ties with China, only 36% favor closer political
ties.
Foreign Policy 5-15-2020: Beijing
were to interpret ...... coronavirus as a uniquely advantageous moment, a
Chinese military strike on Taiwan at this moment is unlikely... ... but a low level of
risk is not the same as zero risk.
(北京視抗疫期間為千載難逢的武統機會
但目前攻台機率還不高) New York Times 5-19-2020: US is
Using Taiwan as a Pressure Point (TSMC in Arizona ...) in
Tech Fight With China. Nikkei news Japan ( Nihon
keizai shinbun, 日本経済新聞 ) , 5-20-2020: TSMC to Arizona may weaken Taiwan's security. National
Review 5-13-2020 : The U.S.-China Economic and Security
Review Commission: China Has Increased Military Pressure on Taiwan during
Pandemic
(
FP
5-15-2020 :
dozens of PLAAF aircraft crossed the centerline twice). 日本《産経新聞》5-18-2020,
頭版頭條 :
米中 台湾参加WHA対決
, WHO『新冷戦』の
舞台
(「美中將因台灣加入WHA問題對決, WHO成『新冷戰』舞台」). New York Post 4-25-2020 :
台灣以專制處裡疫情 幾乎每個人被監控追蹤 Taiwan deals with CovID-19 with "a
lot more authoritarian.",
"almost everyone is tracked." .CNN 2-19-2020, CTN 5-2-2020: 台灣擋住共軍第一擊後 希望全球能對中共施壓 Taiwan president:
"What we are expecting is, after withstanding the first wave of Chinese attacks
ourselves, the rest of the world would stand up to exert strong pressure on
China" ....
DailyMail
UK, France 24 ,
4-20-2020: CoronaVirus: WHO chief hits back (by "Taiwan didn't report
any human-to-human transmission," , "Taiwan's email was only seeking further
information.") at
Trump's claims (White
House 4-15-2020: WHO kept Taiwan's lead from the public). FOXnews 4-9-2020, CNBC 4-8-20:
WHO chief addresses death threats, racist insults
from Taiwan (WHO譚德塞
: 種族侮辱來自台灣)。
<中時社論> 4-10-2020:台灣的網路霸凌揚威國際
。<聯合報>
社評 4-11-2020: 台灣放任網民向譚德塞發動攻擊。 Guardian (英國衛報),
3-28-2020: U.S. increases support for Taiwan internationally by a new law
The Taiwan Allies International Protection and Enhancement Initiative (TAIPEI)
Act, China threatens to strike back
(美國通過台北法 北京揚言反擊).
Reuters (路透社) 2-26-2020: Taiwan should continue to
show goodwill to China during coronavirus outbreak and not give Beijing an
excuse to attack the island as a way of relieving “internal pressure”
...
Chinese public opinion believes people in
Taiwan lack sympathy about China’s virus outbreak...
台灣應對大陸釋出善意
以免對岸因內部壓力而動武 大陸民意認為台灣人民對大陸CovID19疫情缺乏同情
; L.A. Times (美國洛杉磯時報)1-10-2020
~ 1-11-2020: Taiwan election... a vote
guided by anxiety about China ... Taiwan's president
sweeps to reelection, setting the stage for chilly
relations with China.(亡國感發酵 蔡英文連任 兩岸關係涼颼颼)
Bloomberg
1-9-2020: Slow income growth and aging society post challenge ahead,
Taiwanese income-per-person, income per capita, lowest of Four Tigers.(台灣薪低
失業率低) Diplomat
1-3-2020: Taiwan anti-infiltration act targets at curbing Chinese
influence but critics say it threatens the country's democracy.
(https://thediplomat.com/2020/01/taiwan-passes-anti-infiltration-act-ahead-of-election-amid-opposition-protests/)
New York Times, 11-25-2019:
The US is the largest source of military equipment for Taiwan, Taiwan is the
largest beneficiary of "trade diversion" with $4.2 billion in additional
exports to the US (1st half yr. '19).
台美經武交流密切
。
WSJ (Wall Street Journal)
9-20-2019:
中國外交明顯大勝台灣 It’s clearly a big
win for China having the two largest allies of Taiwan in the Pacific drop so
quickly... New York Times
9-20-2019: As Taiwan Loses Influence, China Gains
Ground in Race With U.S.
外交洗牌的直接输家是台湾政府;Washington Post 9-25-2019: China’s growing
dominance in the South Pacific is a defeat for an America in retreat.
中國於南太平洋擊敗美國
。
World Economic Forum (WEF) <Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>, 9-4-2019:
台灣的觀光旅遊競爭力區域跌幅最大(詳下頁)
,
排名亞洲第10
,
prioritization (旅遊優先序)排全球75。紐約時報
(New
York Times), 7-31-2019, CNN 8-1-2019: 中國著眼於選舉 停止自由行來台旅遊。
Independent UK 8-1-2019: It is a blow for Taiwan’s tourism industry.
美國洛杉磯時報, 8-1-2019:
無限期停簽可能會對台灣經濟，文化交流造成造成重大衝擊
(The indefinite suspension is likely to
prove a major economic hit to Taiwan, as well as a blow to cultural interplay)。
紐約時報
(New
York Times)
4-10-2019:
The US considers Taiwan's political
status to be undetermined ... Taiwan Relations Act. calls for Taiwan's
status to be determined by peaceful means.台灣地位未定
須和平決定; Washington
Post, 3-28-2019: 美國不如中國對台灣的影響力普遍 in Taiwan, it’s China that dominates
every discussion ..., while the United States is seen as largely absent.
Bloomberg 7-15-2019:
台灣位居美國西太平洋國安鏈樞紐之一;
紐約時報
(New
York Times) 4-1-2019:
台灣抗議共機穿越海峽中線。
聯合報 4-1-2019: 共機越中線 抗議美艦3度穿海峽。 Japan
Times, 4-1-2019:
中國解讀美艦穿越為支持台灣自治(
those sailings have likely been interpreted by China as implicit support for
self-ruled Taiwan)。
Reuters 2-25-2019:
美艦激怒中国(US Navy ships pass through strategic Taiwan Strait,
riling China.) 。CNN 6-17-2019: 香港示威幫台灣反中壯膽 (emboldened
anti-China elements).
紐約時報
(New
York Times) 1-19-2019: 台灣大多數人民想維持實質獨立，但也不想招惹共軍犯台。
法國
Le Monde France 1-2-2019:
中國不能排除武統
( « n’exclut pas » la force pour récupérer Taïwan)。 英國BBC
1-2-2019:
美國是台灣唯一盟友 ... 大多其他國家樂見目前台灣地位之模糊狀態...。
紐約時報
(New
York Times),
11-28-2018: 台灣是倒向中國的第一張骨牌嗎? (Will Taiwan be the first Domino to fall to
China ?);
New York Times, 11-23-2018: 經濟、就業與年金改革導致民進黨選舉大敗,
中國指出選舉結果反映人民想改善兩岸關係之欲望; Le
Monde (法國), 11-24-2018: A Taïwan, des élections sous influence chinoise
.
Washington Post,
8-20-2018: 美國政策無法預料 台灣處境危險且不穩Taiwan's precarious role in the
China-US spat (Trump adm.'s Taiwan policy is unpredictable);
CBS News 11-14-2018:
美國若為台灣與解放軍作戰、很可能陷入苦戰
險勝或遭擊敗 ( decisive military
defeat.)
/
National Defense Strategy
Commission
;
Annual Report to US Congress (
Military and Security Developments Involving the PRC ),
8-17-2018 美國防報告 : Much of
Beijing’s defense budget is focused on developing the capability to unify
Taiwan by force (北京將大量國防預算
集中於發展武統台灣的軍事力量);
紐約時報 (NY Times), 6-12-2018: AIT新館落成 , 美國不派高官來台(no top officials) 以免增加美中衝突;
USA Today
5-18-2018: Xi JinPing has signaled that China will seek to reclaim its
historical properties by 2049.(習近平已發出信號將尋求2049年收回台灣); Freebeacon 5-17-2018 : 2020—the deadline that [Chinese supreme
leader] Xi Jinping has given the [People's Liberation Army] to be ready to
invade Taiwan
(2020年
- 習近平給人民解放軍準備入侵台灣的最後期限); 美國聽證會(4-17-2018)Rep. Ted Soho: Seems likely Xi will force the issue in his life
time (看來習任內將強制完成統一Subcommittee Hearing: Reinforcing the
U.S.-Taiwan Relationship (EventID=108170)
) ; 紐約時報 (NY Times), 10-19-2017: 習近平呼籲台灣回歸祖國，
如同港澳般實行愛國者為主體的自治 ，...
"绝不允许任何人、任何组织、任何政党、在任何时候、以任何形式、把任何一块中国领土从中国分裂出去！”
這段誓辭贏得全場最熱烈的掌聲(in
19th CP Congress Speech ) ； 華盛頓郵報 (Washington Post) , 10-18-2017:
習近平所謂"任何一块中国领土"，包括了台灣。
德國 Spiegel, 1-9-2017, Global Times of China:一中原則
... 沒有討價還價的餘地("Es
gibt keinen Raum für Verhandlungen".)。 五角大廈於May
2017警告:台灣過去可以遏制中國襲擊的「許多優勢」(包括美國協防)，已經被中國的軍事現代化「削弱或消除了」。美國 FreeBeacon , 10-19-2017 : "中國習近平對台獨的籲請，
猛力關上大門 (Slams the Door on Taiwanese Appeals for Independence)"。法國 Le Monde
diplomatique
(mai '16) 兩岸鬥爭
台海情勢 政治漫畫(click
for details !)將台灣喻為
背對大貓(中國)
威懾、直冒汗發抖求救("$O$" )的
耗子。
Bloomberg
3-14-2018: 中國真正的憂慮不是貿易戰、而是美國打'台灣牌'
Trump's "Taiwan card" (to annoy China when
needed) is
China's real worry.
Deutsche Welle 3-17-2018:
中國對川普簽署之台灣旅行法反應憤怒 (<台旅法>間接承認台灣為國家!?
― "visits to a country by United
States cabinet members
...".).
Bloomberg 3-14-2018:
台灣成為
兩強夾心餅乾,
處境更為煎熬 Taiwan will suffer even more,
as it
gets caught in the middle between a stronger China and a
inward-looking US...
蔡英文總統在英國BBC
(Jan. 15, 2020) 專訪時表明: 「我們稱自己 中華民國台灣」 ("We call ourselves the Republic of
China, Taiwan" ), 但 BBC 稍後將之更改為 "the Republic of China (Taiwan)".
蔡英文在5-20-2020就職演講中, 重申希望二岸穩定,
但拒絕被香港化(semiautonomy),
因為蔡所代表的民進黨主張台灣獨立,
北京立即回應決不給台獨分裂活動任何空間。就職演講後,
大陸兩會(5-22-2020)開幕報告一反約40年的慣例, 不再提"和平"、只講"統一"。
猶記美國政府出資的 Voice of America, 7-30-2019 曾報導北京当局(對香港反送中活動)警告『一国两制的底线不可触碰』、
'19年11月中共官方對港方面發出最嚴重的戰爭聲調「勿謂言之不預」(外媒譯"'don't
say I didn't warn u" 、近似最後通牒),兩會果然動手(港版國安法)。台灣聯合報
5-24-2020 社論指出:
北京(對台)的底線畫得明確。
2020年4月中共鷹派官媒也對台叫囂「勿謂言之不預」。
台灣是否還要繼續踩
踏「紅線」
呢? 英國
Financial Times 5-19-2020報導: 面對中共加劇的軍事恫嚇
騷擾行動,台灣感到
懼怕 (Taiwan fears uptick in military threat from
China in wake of coronavirus epidemic)。英國
Express
5-30-2020:
北京威脅侵台引起全面戰爭的恐懼 (Fears of total war as China repeats
threat to INVADE neighbouring Taiwan) 。 英國
The SUN, 5-25-2020報導: the move has sparked fears in Taiwan of a possible invasion of its Pratas
islands - which could then be used as a staging point for an attack on the
mainland之後,台灣到美國Fox
News
(
5-26-2020 ) 祈望國際援
助
( warns Taiwan is next on Chinese agenda ( military actions ) and
asks for international support.
)。
近年台灣一直請纓(或銜命)打第一線、
空槍上戰場、"poking
the bear" ,被<Foreign Policy>尊稱為「
智者」("leading
thinker")。
中華民國憲法一直明載「一個中國」的國家定位,中国(The
People's Republic of China)長久以來也認定台灣 (Taiwan the Republic of China )屬於中國不可分割的一部分，而且為其核心利益，必要時將以武力解決台灣問題，New
York Times, 5-12-2020報導 Pew Research Center民調: 52%
民眾支持與大陸更親蜜的經濟往來(
中時社論 6-13-2020: 對大陸出口比重達41.5%，是近10年來最高點，出口美國增為14.5%，近14年新高，成為第二大出口國。), 但只有 36% 喜歡更緊密的政治關係 (
大陸91.5％, 台湾95％的人口是漢族，血脈相連，超过200萬台灣人居住在中国
，并且20％以上的台灣人在那裡结婚 )。 美國洛杉磯時報
(8-1-2019) :台灣政府民調顯示，80％以上的人民喜歡"autonomy"(維持現狀)，
紐約時報
(New
York Times) 1-19-2019,
National Interest, 6-16-2020:
台灣大多數人民想維持實質獨立，但也不想招惹共軍犯台。
自從2016年蔡英文當選總統後，因為她的民進黨拒絕國共約定的九二共識 (中國只有一個、但兩岸可各自表述何者為合法
政權)，2019年初習近平刪除其他"表述"的可能，中共加強了軍事經濟的壓力與外交影響，
截至2020年中，台灣邦交國只剩15(
Taiwan loses Salvador. China
rankled TW president's visit to NASA - LA Times 8-20-2018, 半年失去3邦交國)，且多為蕞爾小邦，
北京隨時可進一步挫敗台外交，另手的軟策略則是刻意對台「讓利」( 比方鼓勵赴台旅遊、提供吸引台胞的軟實力發展機
會 / 法國
le monde
diplmatique ,
may
2019
;
中時
5-30-2020:
台灣出口4成依賴中國大陸,
2010年ECFA，讓台灣水果銷陸翻倍，石化產品銷陸占比高達9成，金融機構到大陸設點賺人民幣，包含高舉台灣獨立的陽信銀行家族。
)，希望更多台灣人傾向統一。(
紐約時報
(New York Times), 7-31-2019, CNN 8-1-2019: 中國著眼於選舉 暫停自由行來台旅遊。 L.A.
Times,
8-1-2019: 無限期停簽
自由行可能對台灣經濟，文化交流造成造成重大衝擊。 )
近來，台灣约26％的贸易與中国成交，大陸已成為台灣最大的贸易伙伴
，也取代美國成为台湾出口的第一大目的地，约占台湾灣出口總额
的40％（包括香港）; 2017年台灣從大陸賺得近1200億美元順差。N.Y.
Times 12-3-2019:大陸與台灣之間的貿易額從1999年的約355億美元已上升到2017年的1810+億美元。 實際的台灣人一致認為:
與大陸的經濟依存無法避免，但過度仰赖則存在風险;
英國BBC(2019) 報導 部分台灣人認為龐大的投資中國使共軍犯台機率減低。
法國
Le
Monde diplomatic
(2016)指出
: 互補的兩岸經濟正在競爭
(Mais les économies des deux rives, qui étaient complémentaires,
entrent désormais en concurrence.
Les entreprises taïwanaises
sont progressivement exclues de la mise en place d’une chaîne de production
et d’approvisionnement chinoise ... )。
台灣目前試圖增強與其他亞洲國家的貿易以減少對大陸的依賴，就得作更加開放與競爭力的改革 (heritage.org)。
★
台灣創造了經濟奇蹟
，成為世界重要電子產品生產廠與亞洲主要貿易國家 、世界第22大經濟體
， 據Global Wealth Report (Credit
Suisse,
Oct.,
2018)統計台灣成人的平均財富USD
212,375,
接近西歐水平 ( UK USD
279,048, France USD
280,580)
與新加坡USD 283,118、Hong
Kong
244,672;
但國家總財富或佔全球比率僅1.3%，低於中國的16.4%、美國31%、日本7.5%、韓國2.2%。
Global Wealth Report
(Credit
Suisse,
Oct.,
2019)
報導台灣的wealth per adult與義、德相近，
輸給Hong
Kong (world No.2)、日本、新加坡(6th)、澳(4th)、紐(5th)等亞太國家。聯合報社論(12-3-2019):
台灣去年平均經常性月薪為NTD38,000 (約USD1,200),
比2001年還少100多元。 聯合報社論(11-5-2019):台灣經濟真的重回四小龍第一？
https://udn.com/news/story/11321/4144692
日本読売新聞「社説」(6-22-2017)
評論:
美國負責加強台灣的防務，是維護台海和平與穩定的關鍵
(
"米国は台湾の防衛力強化を担っており、台湾海峡の平和と安定のカギを握る。") 。
Foreign Policy
5-15-2020
亦持此說。
台灣的唯一'ally'美國， 對兩岸採取戰略模糊("strategic
ambiguity")政策
―
"認知"(“acknowledge”)台灣屬於中國 , 但不"承認"(“recognize”)台灣屬於中国， 並根據 台灣關係法出售防衛武器給台灣
(但缺乏能使台灣佔有真正優勢的重要系統; 直到'19年Trump的 F-16戰鬥機銷售 ，是數十年來最大、最重要的交易)，自1949年
起對台灣國防扮演極其重要的角色；然長年以來，台灣政府期望美國的子女冒生命危險来保衛家園，且假設美國一定會出兵解救台湾，
台灣兩黨的政策，導致了
軍力不足且士氣低落。Foreign
Policy, 2-15-2020
指出台灣軍方是"空
包彈"
( Hollow Shell
)、美國國防部官員私下對台灣部隊和後備軍
力表達了悲觀的評估。
Washington Post 1-5-2018 報導許多美國高官視台灣為美中障礙， 甚至是壞一碗粥的鼠屎(“the turd in the
punchbowl”)。
然而
中共認為美國仍有許多勢力(many forces)支持台灣，作為對抗中国的籌碼
(PS: Bloomberg 3-14-2018: some US
national security hawks,
New York Times at
4-18-2018: Mr. Trump questioned why the US should be bound by
the One China policy if Beijing will not budge on trade ... The
U.S. and Taiwan are seen
as heading in a direction that is getting perilously close to Chinese
red lines......,
VOAnews, 3-23-2018 :
John Bolton (Trump's new National Security
Adviser) has long argued that Washington can play a "Taiwan
card" to compel
Beijing's
attention for
its potentially
destabilizing
actions in East
Asia and the
South China Sea. )。
蘇聯解體後, 中國牌失去價值,
反成對手, 台灣棋順風登場,
蔡英文總統在2016就職演講，提到了《中華民國憲法》和两岸法條，imply已接受了“一個中國”的框架， 但
蔡又拒絕endorse九二共識，引起解放軍進入備戰(battle
ready)狀態;
蔡英文2020年後
若修憲勢必牽動局勢 。聯合報
5-22-2020
社論擔心: 台灣充當美國抗中急先鋒，是否終將成為戰場的棄子或砲灰。澳洲LOWY institute , 6-16-2020
:
美國把台湾當作挫败北京的工具，會危害台灣的安全，... 美國鼓動台獨，挑釁中国，最後美國可能放棄台湾。
美國學者(MSU,
5-4-2018)
指出，美國『台灣關係法』等約定模糊,
並沒有"鐵定"的保護承諾
( an “iron-clad”
commitment )。Duke univ 與政大的調查('18)發現，一旦兩岸戰爭，6成以上國民選擇逆來順受或投降逃跑。
New York Times
9-5-2019:
中美就台灣問題爆發戰爭是一場災難, 但台灣被封鎖或被迫屈服，也會是一場災難; 因為超過90%的最先進電腦晶片來自 台灣，台也可阻擋中國的影響力投向太平洋或沖繩等地。紐時 5-19-2020再報導台積電被逼到美國建廠,
用作制中的
"Pressure Point"; 日本経済新聞 ( Nikkei news, Nihon keizai shinbun
)
直言此將削弱台灣
安全 ( 中視新聞
台灣新聞眼 6-27-2020 18:15pm:
建廠也考慮台海戰爭
)。
繼台灣國安情報子預測共軍當時攻台機率達6~7成後,
又聲明「
趨利避害」、不再攪入中美在西太平洋的對立。蔡英文(12-29-2017)認為對台動武的可能性應該不在習思考範圍內, 但於CNN (
2-19-2020 )專訪時改口"
台灣擋住解放軍首波攻擊後，希望國際聲援施壓"。當國際政論分析目前武統不太可能時,
中共官媒指出解放軍能迅速制服台灣並阻絕美軍(
effectively overwhelm the Taiwan military and deter the US)。'20年初中共兩
度越過海峽中線,
陸美在台海周邊頻頻秀肌肉,
爭端升高。美國
CBS news 11-14-2018報導, 美國若為台灣與解放軍
或與俄羅斯作戰、很可能陷入苦戰
― 險勝或遭擊敗。
根據美國五角大廈'eye-opening'
的軍演模擬, 到2030年也會有類似結果
(The
Australian, 5-18-2020, The Times, UK)。美國紐約時報
7-1-2020 刊登台灣立委的抱怨: 如果台灣與中共作戰，美國不會來營救我們。台灣承受不起這種風險。英國
Express
(UK) 6-30-2020直言:
如果中共攻打台灣， 美國不會拯救台灣 (
China
attack on Taiwan will NOT be salvaged by US in major new warning )。
● 道德
民調顯示，台灣人民認為政治人物重視專業倫理、值得信任的比率僅2.3％，五成六民眾指民代最重視「個人利益」，僅9.3％認為他們重視「國家利益」(自由時報
7-21-2020 社論)。華盛頓郵報(Washington
Post) 7-22-2020: 2019年1月習近平已向台灣提出最後通牒
―
談判或武統 (In a major speech in January 2019, Xi offered an ultimatum to Taiwan to come to the table for unification talks or face annexation by force. But as a precondition for talks, China demanded that Tsai acknowledge the “one China” principle.)，然而，人民竟被政府蒙在鼓裡，連政論家也無須知道
(ref.: tw.news.yahoo.com/-yahoo論壇趙少康對台動武下最後通牒-093401034.html
)。National Interest, 6-16-2020指出: 如果會引起共軍武力犯台， 超過60.3％的台灣人民反對台灣獨立; 這些人若知道前有險灘，未必會投票給
日媒所謂台獨意志強烈的蔡英文。
○
● 司法不公
USA
Country Reports on Human Rights
practices(美國人權報告), 3-11-2020:
法官與檢察官的公正遭到學者與政治評論的公開質疑 ;
2019年3月13日的美國人權報告(USA Country
Reports on Human Rights practices)
在貪污與政府透明度方面指出，司法不獨立且執行政治目的調查工作("
justice ministry was insufficiently independent and conducted politically
motivated investigations of politicians.
")。<聯合報>
人民不信任執法因為政府濫權玩法。 <聯合報>
10-20-2019:
政治凌駕司法。
<自由時報>頭版、<中國時報>頭版,
12-8-2018:司法改革未有明顯進展 招來民怨;
<聯合報>"司法仍在當打手"。<聯合報>,
06-18-2016: "檢察"。<聯合報>。<聯合報>。
檢察官
○
●
言論自由 無國界記者組織
(法國
RSF,
<Reporters
Sans Frontieres> ) ,
4-18-2019:
台灣雖然宣稱要持續推動言論自由，但很少採用具體實質完整的
措施與方法來改善記者的編輯獨立性並鼓勵媒體提昇公共議題的品質，另一方面，北京正利用台灣媒體老闆在中國有商業立利益這個弱點施壓台灣媒體...
USA
Country Reports on Human Rights
practices(美國人權報告), 3-11-2020: 台灣媒體的母公司因為在中國大陸的商業利益和生意，報導內容遭到中國當局的審查，倘若內容不符合「政治胃口」的話，重則對刊登這類文章的媒體抽廣告。蘋果日報
12-4-2019 蘋論 : 台灣各政黨與許多政客都豢養網軍 ,
網軍往往是恐怖殺手
毀人形象與名譽的殺傷力怵目驚心... 攻防手段更暗黑卑劣.. 狠毒..，沒有道德底線，人性最卑劣的一面，在網軍世界裡盡現 ........
(brief ) 2019年3月13日的美國人權報告(USA Country
Reports on Human Rights practices) :
媒體所有權集中對新聞自由
產生影響；新聞置入性行銷情況嚴重，罷工權嚴格受限。台灣工會密度遠低於經濟合作暨發展組織（OECD）的17%平均值，78.2%中小企業員工無法成立工會，大型企業則透過調動或將工會成員列入晉升黑名單。
無國界記者組織
(法國
RSF, <Reporters
Sans Frontieres>
) , 12-16-2019 :
台灣媒體長期被腥羶色與假新聞真廣告污染, 以及非藍即綠兩極化,
阻礙了制衡力量, 新聞工作者面對長官反新聞道德命令時, 不能期望法律保護...原本保護民主的媒體反而會變成民主的威脅...(brief) <中時社論>
3-9-2020:
扼殺台灣言論自由手法: 政治力的威嚇，
以NCC裁罰與審核執照權，對特定異議電視台進行管控。
網軍暗器霸凌，令受害者查無實據。收買名嘴、網紅、民調，塑造風向。(brief)<聯合報> 1-8-2020 社論:
執政黨讓『網路暗殺』漸成日常 連正規國安軍警體系也得參與網軍
滲入社群監控民意 (brief)。網軍 ;
言論自由
●
貪腐 自由時報 社論
1-12-2020: 完全執政的腐壞氣息已現。 2019年12月25日――
總統大選政見發表會登場，國民黨韓國瑜批民進黨蔡英文領導下，貪官污吏可以"大貪特貪"，
蔡回辯講貪污應更記得國民黨，親民黨宋楚瑜認為國民黨與民進黨是貪腐與司法不公的難兄難弟。
蘋果日報 12-7-2018
社論 :
台灣除了官商勾結，貪腐破表外，領先中國、印尼、巴西、菲律賓、越南等貪污大國之處，在於還有黑道橫行。黑道輔佐官商民代發財，其臭無比的食物鏈 超越藍綠...(
https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20181207/38199252/) ; Transparency International 1-29-2019:
台灣貪腐不像南韓有所改善進展
(Taiwan
has stagnated in the Corruption Perspective Index rankings since 2011 with its
score 61~63 (dropped 2 spots this year), in contrast, South Korea improved by 3
points in 2017.) 貪污
●缺陷民主 New
York Times, 1-11-2020: Taiwan’s
young and vibrant, if messy at times,
democratic society. (台灣
活躍不成熟的民主時而亂七八糟)
英國經濟學人Economist EIU Democracy Index 2019 : 台灣是"缺陷民主" ("Flawed democracy"),
總分比 2015與2016年低, "政治文化political culture", "政治參與political participation"
分數大約是不及格
(5.63, 與6.11分).
N.Y. Times
12-3-2019:
soft underbelly of
Taiwanese politics: patronage networks.
they continue to
allow
community leaders, farmers’ associations and even
organized-crime figures to buy votes.(選舉仍有買票)。<中國時報>
2-26-2020:
「民主成就」的背後，卻是愈來愈不受節制的行政權與萎縮的立法權，言論自由受到行政、司法權層層威脅...政治文化只問黨派立場與意識形態
。<蘋果日報>社論, 12-7-2019:
選舉風氣大壞, 總統成為低門檻、低資格要求的職業與笑柄... <Foerign Policy> 2015: 台灣政治屬於財團(非人民),且為政客控制。中國時報 3-29-2019 頭條新聞:
不容打著民主招牌反民主,
走向歐威爾式獨裁... 蘋果日報
3-29-2019
社論:
民主自由是藍綠白都不可失守的底線, 執政者尤其不該渾水摸魚, 製造寒蟬效應
(https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20190329/38294369/)
, <聯合報>社論, 12-6-2018: 有名無實的民主。
<聯合報>社論,
3-7-2017: 台灣如今似乎連民主的皮相也難以維持了...「民生」已經變成政治的犧牲品...
。
<聯合報>
社論,
6-23-2019:
大數據成為政客操縱民意的利器，民主運作往往偏離多數民意，無法解決民主倒退的困境...
(brief)。民主自由
●
販毒中心台灣竟成亞洲製毒販毒中心
/ <中國時報
周刊王> (The China Times,
Want Weekly) , 9-18-2019。「台灣
已淪製毒王國」/ <聯合報>
(United Daily) 頭版頭條,
11-2-2017 。台灣成為惡名昭彰的「毒品轉運中心」，
「輸出大國」的污名
坐實，
日本與澳洲警方已將台灣列為毒品輸出"高風險國家"，但台灣卻反對改變
/ <中國時報>(The China Times) 頭版頭條, 4-4-2017, <聯合報>社論,
11-6-2017, <自由時報>(The Liberty
Times), 5-12-2017。販毒
●
人口走私
美國人口走私報告
US state government - 2019 Trafficking in persons report, Jun. 2019:
過去五年來，人口販運集團走私外國男女到台灣被迫從事勞動和性交易，當地男女 也遭受強迫性的勞動，台灣當地婦女和兒童則被迫遭受性交易販賣。
人口販運集團以毒癮引誘國內外國女性和兒童從事非法性交易販運。
販運者通過欺詐性婚姻和欺騙性就業機會，將來自中國和東南亞國家的婦女引誘到台灣。...
USA
Country Reports on Human Rights
practices(美國人權報告), 3-11-2020:
外籍勞工深受壓迫成為受害者，家庭看護工亦常受到僱主濫用或虐待，他們都負擔高額仲介費，面臨不平等對待...
●東廠活躍<聯合報>
社論 (9-19-2018)
「東廠們」已經活躍在我們四周...;<自由時報>頭版、<中國時報>頭版,
12-8-2018:「東廠事件」嚴重挫傷政府公信力
; <聯合報> 11-2-2018 頭版頭條
報導「國安局證實偵蒐臉書」，監控網路社群
之爭議訊息，「
老大哥正看著你」幾乎確定引起「寒蟬效應」。<聯合報>
11-3-2018: 臉書等所有平台業者被要求交出用戶個資(intel
denied)。一群情治系統
的幫派繼續運作、繼續
治國...
他們是真正的行政院長,
...情治單位疑涉入劉邦友、彭
婉如等懸
案
(ref
to
2018.7.26【政經看民視】 FTV,
"政經看民視", 7-26-2018;
SET(三立電視),
9-24-2013
"Secret agents govern the nation (特務治國)" www.youtube.com/watch?v=rBdZCdYrwF4;
Era TV, 年代電視,
9-22-2013;
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=L1b4R2m6K3g;
"Secret
agent
systems
resurgence
to
control
the
nation
(特務復辟治國)"
; <聯合報>社論,
12-21-2017:
「白色恐怖 漆成綠色 我們依然認得」。
<聯合報>社論,
12-27-2017:
台灣許多作為
屬「國家暴力」(「白色恐怖」為其產品 )重現；「若不叫做'國家暴力',
甚麼才是國家暴力?」.../
ref to詳
https://udn.com/news/story/11321/2897025。 老大哥正看著你
●
國際詐騙
<聯合報> 社論,
10-23-2019 :
電信詐騙犯橫行國際損害台灣形象。
<聯合報> 社論,
12-24-2017 :
台灣變成國際詐騙輸出國,已成國際公害。 <quora>,
4-16-2016台灣把詐騙犯當成資產
"Taiwan largely sees these telecom
frauds(phone scammers) as an asset rather
than liability..."。 < EBC TV>, 4-9-2017:
台灣人詐騙全球、
惡名昭彰、
重創台灣形象
。
<中國時報>,
11-7-2017 (亞洲警察學會秘書長): 冰凍三尺非一日寒，台灣要洗刷詐騙王國的汙名，
並不簡單。
國際詐欺
●
酷刑 台灣一再拖延修正刑法反酷刑(torture
and other cruel, inhuman or degrading treatment or
punishment
), 無視國際人權專家會審調查之結論意見,
ref .<蘋果日報>,
opinion - headline, 12-9-2017。Taiwan's
opposition party
vice
presidential candidate, NTU professor Lin Ruey-Shiung,
was subject to electromagnetic wave attacks (French AFP
,Dec. 1, 2011 ,
Thailand's Bangkok Post, Dec. 3, 2011, Yahoo UK & Ireland,
etc. ),
Taiwan gov. denied this. ●
Liberty
Times
6-7-2019
: Control
Yuan's new mission -
against Torture and Other Cruel,
Inhuman or Degrading Treatment or Punishment
/ Pavel Doubek
●
聯合報, editorial,
5-6-2019: 監察院(之彈劾...)著眼於自己人, 未幫助弱勢
(brief).
自由時報 2-28-2020 社論:
轉型正義距離階段性目標尚遠。仍停留在真相釐清的層次，不及懲凶程序正義。(brief)
聯合報社論 08-26-2019
:企圖遮掩轉型正義的窳政劣績
(brief)
迫害
●
食安問題
愚民政策
中國時報
The China Times, 10-20-2018 社論 (主筆室) https://opinion.chinatimes.com/20181019003889-262101
●
人民安全
中國時報
2-25-2020
社論 (主筆室) :
所得分配惡化，產生「飢寒起盜心」的社會治安敗壞現象。2001年後，台灣「犯罪人口率」到2018年惡化程度超過5成。
●
聯合報
2-8-2018: 台灣政府未善盡基本責任
保護人民生命財產安全
(full text:
https://udn.com/news/story/11321/2974813
聯合報社論／斷層帶上何以建了那麼多高樓？
2-8-2018,
https://udn.com/news/story/7338/2977079
勿讓軟腳樓成坑殺人命陷阱 2-9-2018, https://tw.appledaily.com/headline/daily/20180209/37928659
都更 爛政客
敷衍不作為 以致數百萬戶老屋舍面臨生死關頭
如遇六級地震 2-9-2018);
●
<中國時報>,
10-9-2019,
headline :
約5/6橋樑需急修卻未修
政府甚至未公開危橋名單●
<中國時報>,
10-4-2019社論:
鐵皮工廠，形同消防員的死亡陷阱，都是「制度殺人」。●
<中國時報>,
1-7-2018台灣海、陸、空污染毒害，山海變色，
政府不斷
"治標不治本"，食物鏈將毒害子孫健康
...
http://www.chinatimes.com/newspapers/20180107000465-260114。Daily
Mail (UK) 7-14-2017 : Shocking
underwater video from Taiwan
shows ocean floor littered with plastic
(bottles) garbage.●
Lancet
Planetary
Health
(April
10, '19):
"The 4th
worst
for rate
of kids
getting
Asthma
from
traffic
air
pollution"
(交通空污氣喘兒
台灣全球第四高)●《中國時報
China Times》,
Taiwan,
4-12-2019 : 環保團體批政府無心改善空污.●
<聯合報> 8-5-2019: 學者籲空污改採世界標準。●
德國2019
CCPI (Climate
Change
Performance
Index -
GHG
emissions,
renewable
energy,
etc)
將台灣排名倒數第三,
名次從2017年起一再倒退.
●
Apple
Daily
12-11-2019,
頭條新聞:
國內空污愈來愈嚴重,
前十名公司(China
Steel,
Taichung
Power
plant,
etc)之
PM2.5
and PM10
危及1185萬人健康。
●
交通安全
聯合報
1-20-2020:
交通事故死亡率
台灣是日本5倍;
聯合報
6-12-2019:
兩年奪走42命
教訓還不夠 ? 英國 BBC、英國太陽報(2-13-2017): 批評台灣交通安全:
!
BUS
CRASH HORROR! Taiwan's tour bus safety
"has come under fire in recent months over
safety standards..." ; MSN, Reuters,
EuroNews, Mirro(UK), NewsWeek, CNN, etc (2-4-2015) :"台灣 近年來飛安紀錄糟糕"
("Taiwan
has had
a poor
aviation
safety
record
in
recent
years") , full text
Taiwan's aviation
safety ; 蘋果日報(2-15-2017 蘋論):
...如此慘重得傷亡率，在文明國家中，可謂獨佔鰲頭、首屈一指...責備有用嗎?沒用!... 因為看穿了政府色厲內荏、虛張聲勢
;
聯合報頭版 2-15-2017: "每次都檢討 每次都重演"
;
人民日報旗下之環球時報
(7-19-2016
社評):
台灣旅遊業這麼大的安全漏洞，居然能年復一年混下去......再去是玩命
!
●
勞動權利 USA
Country Reports on Human Rights
practices(美國人權報告), 3-11-2020: 台灣罷工權受到嚴重強烈限制，勞動糾紛須先由主管機關作協調，調解過程中不能舉行任何罷工或其他抗議行為。同時，教師、公務員及國防等特定行業不能罷工，公有事業、醫院與電信業者須在維持基本服務的前提下才能罷工。
●
歧視
美國國務院人權報告USA
Country Reports on Human Rights
practices, 3-11-2020: 對LGBTI的歧視更加普遍，
其他的歧視包括HIV/AIDS就業等 (Activists for LGBTI rights said due to victims’ reluctance to lodge formal
complaints, discrimination against LGBTI persons was more widespread than
suggested by the number of court cases.There
was reported discrimination, including employment discrimination, against
persons with HIV/AIDS) .
2019年3月13日的美國人權報告(USA Country
Reports on Human Rights practices) :
婦女懷孕是台灣常見的勞動歧視現象，性騷擾與不公平待遇等案件也時有所聞，社會文化因素(社會壓力使家族蒙羞)使許多婦女隱忍不報，性侵數字應7~10倍於通報數
；性侵也見於殘障人士、性剝削見於兒童，外籍家庭主婦與陸配、 LGBTI 、HIV/AIDS
仍舊遭到歧視...
●
剝削
外勞
美國人權報告(USA Country
Reports on Human Rights practices)、
2019年3月13日: 外勞是最容易遭受強迫勞動的族群，漁業(『普遍盛行』的狀況:
沒有工資或低工資，高工時，身體虐待，缺乏食物或醫療，剝奪睡眠，不人道的生活條件惡劣。)、農業、製造業與建築業都是常見強制勞動的行業。
美國國務院
人權報告
United
States
Department
of State
Country
Reports
on Human
Rights
Practices
(3-3-2017,
4-20-2018) :
剝削外籍漁工與家事勞工、官員貪污、家庭暴力、部分媒體在報導關於中國新聞時有「自我審查」狀況、買票、企業違反工時規定、性別歧視及兒虐案件增加...
。外勞 ,
逃逸外勞
●
pic. above: 蘋果日報
12-14-2019 社論:
台灣政府逐漸威權文化
pic. right:
中時12-14-2019
社論:
台灣政府嚴重傷害言論自由
pic. :
中時11-29-2019
社論:
台灣政府背離民主常軌
哈佛大學教授
Dr. Joseph Nye 曾建議台灣發展軟實力，
以開拓國際空間，應對中國，Brookings
(1-22-2018) 也主張軟實力對台灣 是個低成本、
高回報的好政策。
然而根據《MONOCLE》2010
~ 2019 抑或
2017's & 2018's & 2019/2020's《Soft Power 30 Study》
compiled by PR company Portand Communication and University of Southern
California，近年來台灣軟實力表現卻不及鄰國如
Japan (No.3 in 2019), South Korea (No.15 in 2019), Australia, Singapore, New Zealand, India, UAE
，甚至不如中國(No.19 in 2019)。
pic.: The Star Online, CDC, 2-20-2020: US travel
advisory warns of Taiwan
CoronaVirus "apparent community spread" ...
台灣旅遊之建議警告 : 台灣明顯社區感染新冠武漢肺炎
"
community spread":
people infected with the CoronaVirus ...
are not sure how and where they became infected
美國 New York Post,
4-25-2020 報導 : 台灣處理疫情是採用專制(非民主)的手法,
幾乎每個國民都被監視
( "a
lot more authoritarian.", "almost everyone is tracked." ) ;
台灣政府立即反駁
― 專制是人民願意配合。
但是事情真相是, 台灣以防疫為名，「老大哥」早已侵入千家萬戶，而且
是偷偷摸摸侵入，直到開始「大外宣」，政府才自曝
已經對人民電子監控;
台灣的抗疫成績，也來自凌駕憲法的侵權禁令，以及無法源下資通科技監控的資訊。(
ref. to
聯合社論 United Daily, editorial, 5-7-2020).
更諷刺的是, 日本、希等國根本不太信任台灣,
解封後觀光旅遊不歡迎『民主』台灣,
據分析是因為台灣一直不肯普篩、甚至小規模篩檢也不肯,
篩檢比例是全球第138,
遮遮掩掩,
訊息不自由透明 (
ref. to 中時社論 China Times, editorial , 6-6-2020 )。 美國
director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Disease, USA
專家Anthony Fauci
(4-15-2020) 認為25%~ 50%的感染者無症狀或不發病、但仍會傳播病毒。
權威的<新英格蘭>期刊指出無症狀者傳播病毒
難防、將使得全球努力遏制的疫情不容樂觀。國際主要的調查(CNBC
5-7-2020,
Singapore's Blackbox Research and Toluna,
Forbes 6-5-2020, 4-16-2020: The Deep Knowledge Group)
都將中國的防疫排名在台灣之前...
★
pic: 本網站群 "台灣簡介" 排名
歐洲德國 MetaGER 第1,
This websites group was ranked No.1 by keyword "introduction to Taiwan"
on Euro. MetaGER.de at 11-26-2019, 8-5-2019
pic. :
This websites group was ranked No.1 by keyword "introduction to Taiwan"
(本網站群"台灣介紹"排名
China's Baidu 第1)
on Baidu of China at 10-6-2019, 8-3-2019
Salmon is poking the
bear ? Taiwan suffers in danger !
● National Review
5-13-2020 : The U.S.-China Economic and Security Review
Commission:
China Has Increased Military Pressure on Taiwan during Pandemic
.
● CNN 2-19-2020:
TW president: "What we are expecting is, after withstanding the first
wave of
Chinese attacks ourselves, the rest of the world would stand up to exert
strong pressure on China" ....
"Taiwan as an underdog facing down the growing might of Beijing" ...
Taiwan military
●
澳洲智庫 The LOWY
Institute , 6-16-2020
:
美國將台湾當成挫败北京的工具，會危害台灣的安全。...，
美國近年一逕鼓動台灣獨立，風險是，...最後美國放棄台灣。
Independent UK, 7-23-2019: China "ready to go to
war" if Taiwan tries to gain independence ( white paper
released by the Chinese gov.).
CNN 6-17-2019: mass protests
(in Hong Kong) emboldened anti-China elements in Taiwan.
Daily Mail (UK) 4-1-2019: Taiwan
blasts
China for "reckless and provocative" incursion by 2 fighter jets
across a largely respected line dividing the 2 sides in the Taiwan Straits.
Japan Times, 4-1-2019:
China's move also comes less than a week after the U.S. sent ships through
the strait —
the third time in as many months. Reuters 2-25-2019: US Navy ships
... riling China.
In the future, Taiwan will suffer even more,
as it
gets caught in the middle between a stronger China and a
inward-looking US...
Washington Post,
8-20-2018:
●
美國政策無法預料 台灣處境危險且不穩 Taiwan's
precarious role in the China-US spat !
(Trump adm.'s Taiwan
policy is unpredictable);
●
New York Times
9-5-2019: it would also be a catastrophe if Taiwan were blockaded
or squashed into submission, because Taiwan ...
and stands in the way of any Chinese projection into the Pacific or
toward, say, Okinawa.
Bloomberg news 10-19-2018: Taipei mayor says
Taiwan is "just a product on a shelf" for Trump
●
台灣只是美國的"架上貨品"
◆
New York Times at
4-18-2018: Mr. Trump questioned why the US should be bound by the One
China policy if Beijing
will not budge on trade ... The U.S. and Taiwan are seen as heading in a
direction that is getting perilously close to
Chinese
red lines...... (Taiwan president Tsai stated) " Many people
say we are pawns of other people ......"
◆
VOAnews, 3-23-2018 :
John Bolton (Trump's new National Security
Adviser) has long argued that Washington
can play a "Taiwan
card" to compel
Beijing's
attention for
its potentially
destabilizing
actions in East
Asia and the
South China Sea.
◆
<Foreign Policy> 12-14-2016 named Taiwan President Tsai as
one of leading thinkers of 2016 for "Poking the bear" .
But,
蔡英文因為"敢戳大熊"被FP選為"智者", 事實上, 台灣只是張被玩的牌, 不算card player
◆
In Mar. 2018, Trump signed <Taiwan Travel
Act>, which paves way for high-level, official exchanges with Taiwan.
The bill identifies
indirectly
(?) Taiwan as a country
― "visits to a country by United States cabinet members ...".
Deutsche Welle 3-17-2018: China has reacted
angrily to the bill.
Bloomberg news
3-14-2018: Trump's "Taiwan card" (to annoy
China when needed) is China's real worry.
◆ Taiwan Defense Secretary: can resist Chinese army for about 1+ week
(CTV 12-18-2016);
pic.:
本網站群 "台灣簡介"
(or"台灣介紹" ) 英文版排名 No.2 on Yahoo,
3-8-2019
pic.:
本網站群 "台灣簡介"
(or"台灣介紹" ) 英文版排名 No1 on search.Yahoo.com
at 9-17-2018, 6-30-2018, 5-24-2018, 4-13-2018,
3-30-2018, 2-25-2018, 2-2-2018, 1-28-2018;
among top ranks at 3-8-2019
○
pic. right : 本網站"介紹台灣"
(英文版)
排名US WebCrawler 第1 at 2-25-2018, 12-25-2017; No.2 at 3-8-2019, 6-18-2018 (the upper 3 are ads.);
●
●
●
○●
"
●
Economist (special edition
2017): "台灣將成猛虎"(Taiwan will turn into a tiger again)
●
Global Wealth Report &
Global Wealth Databook by
Credit-suisse Research Institute, Nov. 2016: "台灣
亞洲之虎(Taiwan,
Asia Tiger)"
●
紐約時報NY
Times 5-22-2017:
"台灣總統一直假設美國一定
會出兵解救台湾,
並掏空軍隊, 軍方士氣低落且陷入醜聞中
(Taiwan leader continued to base defense
planning
on the assumption that the United States would always
come to the rescue...
Taiwan
has reduced its
active force
(by half))"
● NY Times
12-13-2016:
"台灣總統 蔡英文在就職演講裡，提到了《中華民國憲法》
和两岸條例法规，二者均暗示(imply)
她已接受了“一個中國”的框架。
In Taiwan president Tsai's inaugural speech,
Tsai referred to
the Constitution
of the Republic
of China and the
legislation
governing
cross-strait
relations, both
of which imply
the acceptance
of a “one China”
framework.
"
New York
Times
4-1-2019: Taiwan
protests China jets crossing center of Taiwan Strait, a
provocation that seeks to alter the status quo ... an intentional act.
Taiwan News, 6-28-2019:
U.S. Senate passes pro-Taiwan defense bill calling for more patrols in
Taiwan Strait. Reuters 6-27-2019:
Canadian
navy
ships
sailed
through
Taian
strait
amid
tension
with
China
(Such
passages
upset
China
...
In
April,
Beijing
condemned
a French
decision
to send
a
frigate
through
the
Strait
as
illegal)
Japan Times, 4-1-2019: the U.S. sent ships through the
strait ( mission was unusual) ..
<聯合報> UDN
7-28-2017, 11-20-2017,
Global times, 12-12-2017,
CTV 12-17-2017:
中共解放軍機不斷"常態威懾"繞台飛行
("patrol circling")
並突破第一島鏈(1st Island Chain)..
.中共戰機只需
14 分鐘便可由大陸飛到台灣
https://udn.com/news/story/10930/2610183
Apple Daily 1-18-2018: China's submarine
"patrol circling"
at 1-11-2018
UDN
11-20-2017: 民調首度逆轉 -
49%台灣民眾對大陸民眾印象好。
40%對大陸政府印象好。
●
●
Taiwan
台灣觀光Taiwan travel & tour
●
根據
World Economic Forum (WEF)
<國際觀光旅遊競爭力
報告>
(<Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>, released at 9-4-2019)，
台灣的觀光旅遊競爭力是該區中跌幅最大的，
總排名從2017年的30，
狂跌到第 37名. 其他亞洲國家的名次為
Japan got No.4, China
No.13, Hong Kong No.14, Korea No.16,
Singapore No.17, Malaysia No.29,
Thailand No.31, UAE No.33,
India No. 34,... 至於主要的評鑑項目與分數如下表:
WEF <Travel
and tourism competitiveness report>, 9-4-2019
category
台灣的名次與分數
comparison
prioritization of travel and tourism
No75
Singapore No.6 , Hong Kong No. 11
Natural & cultural resources
No.58 score 2.6
China No.1, score 6.0 , France No.2, 5.0, Spain
No.3, 5.7, Japan No.7, 5.3, Indonesia No.18, Thailand No.21, Korea
No.24, Vietnam No.26, Malaysia No.31, HK No.40, Philippines No.46,
Sri Lanka No.52, Nepal No.56
Natural resources
No. 87
Hong Kong No. 42, Singapore No.120
cultural resources & business travel
No. 36 score 2.6
China No1, score 7.0
price competitiveness
No. 78
China 5.7
Health & Hygiene
No.43, score 6
score worse than Korea, Japan, Mongolia
international openness
No. 60
only better than China, Mongolia
Safety & security
No. 26
human resource & labor market: Taiwan No.18
ps: Compared to the report of 2017, Taiwan significantly tightened
visa requirements (37th down to 119th), waning cultural resources
and business travel (26th to 36th) and recalibrated figures showing
a drastic reduction in protected areas (20th to 118th).
外國觀光旅客來台日均消費 source
from TW gov., Apple Daily, Aug., 2019
★
BBC, UK, 7-31-2019: the number of Chinese tourists (in time) in
2015 is about 4.18 million, dropped to 2.7 million on 2018
(https://www.bbc.com/zhongwen/trad/chinese-news-49178224
7-31-2019)
★
Telegraph, UK, 7-31-2019: China remains
the top source of tourists, with close to 2.5 million visiting last year
中國觀光旅客來台人數統計(百萬單位) , 2008年起兩岸直航 2016年起民進黨執政(綠色)
source: Asia Nikkei 4-30-2019, 台灣政府資料
data 2018/2019
area
population人口
number of tourists
(person in time)
旅遊人次
times倍數
Hong Kong
7.3 million
65.1 million
1:9
Macau
0.65 million
35.9 million
1
: 55
Singapore
5.6 million
18.5 million
1
: 2.3
Taiwan
23
million
11.25 million
1
: 0.5
●
紐約時報
(New
York Times), 7-31-2019, CNN 8-1-2019: 中國著眼於選舉 製造二岸緊張情勢 暫停自由行來台旅遊。
Independent UK 8-1-2019: It is a blow for Taiwan’s tourism industry.
美國洛杉磯時報, 8-1-2019:
無限期停簽可能會對台灣經濟，文化交流造成造成重大衝擊
(The indefinite suspension is likely to
prove a major economic hit to Taiwan, as well as a blow to cultural interplay)。自由時報 8-28-2019: 台灣下半年觀光產值恐損失354億。
聯合報 8-28-2019, 焦點:
撒錢、免簽能救觀光?
拼命補助國旅結果是國人出國人數一再創新高。
聯合報 8-17-2019 社論:
台灣目前的觀光(旅遊)困境，很大部分是兩
岸政策失當所造成。
聯合報 8-22-2019 社論:旅遊衰退的另一大線索是年金改革太劇烈，
使國內旅遊支柱軍公教消費轉趨保守。
聯合報 7-15-2019 社論:
美國經濟學家Tyler Cowen驚訝, 台北是亞洲城市中這30年變化最小的, 85%沒變, 還是小巷、建築、滿街摩托車,
而廣州有90%的不同,香港、首爾、新加坡
10年的變化就很大。 聯合報
8-23-2019: 蔡英文表示台灣觀光政策是
―
均衡客源、擴大內需、提高消費、用美食與珍珠奶茶拼觀光...
; New
York Times, 7-31-2019, CNN
8-1-2019: China, an Eye on Elections,
rising cross-strait tensions, bans
solo tourists from heading to Taiwan. L.A. Times, 8-1-2019:
The indefinite suspension is likely to
prove a major economic hit to Taiwan, as
well as a blow to cultural interplay.
Independent UK 8-1-2019: It is a
blow for Taiwan’s tourism industry.
Liberty Times 8-1-2019: Taiwan may loss
20,000 million dollars from the gross
annual value of tourism in the second
half of 2019. Asia Nikkei
4-30-2019:
Since 2016, China has attempted to
punish Tsai (DPP) by reducing tour
groups to Taiwan, but inbound tourists
have steadily set records surpassing 11
millions for the first time last year...
China remaining the top source of
tourists to Taiwan is because,
LA Times
at 8-1-2019 said that (1)
satisfying a curiosity, an important
channel for knowing Taiwan (2) flights
of no more than 2~3 hours (3) strong
cultural and deep historic connection
(4) religious, architectural and
cultural similarities, the result of
migration from China to Taiwan that
began hundreds of years ago (5) take
home new information from Taiwan’s
newspapers, news websites and television
channels, all free of censorship unlike
on the mainland (6)
stoking business.
●
英國媒體
BBC, The SUN (2-13-2017):
"Bus Crash Horror !"
- 批評台灣旅遊交通安全有待改善
"safety standards need to be improved"聯合報頭版 2-15-2017: "每次都檢討 每次都重演"。
國際媒體也批評台灣飛安紀錄不佳
(
Taiwan's aviation safety -
MSN, Reuters,
EuroNews, Mirro(UK), NewsWeek, CNN, etc (2-4-2015) :"Taiwan has had a poor
aviation safety record in recent years"
) 。
Apple Daily, Opinion (2-15-2017):
如此高傷亡率在文明國家中可能居冠 (brief)。
●
台灣火車 死亡事件
ref. to
<紐約時報>報導
https://www.nytimes.com/2018/10/21/world/asia/taiwan-train-crash.html
2018 : 普悠瑪於台灣最彎軌道出事
Taiwan Train Accident Kills at Least 18 and
Injures about 187 Others( ps: 中視新聞 19:45pm,
10-22-2018, 檢察官:可能是超速肇事; 其他疑點包括Automatic Train Protection被關閉,
軌道異常, etc. ps2: CTV 20:30pm, 10-22-2018 : 速度140 km, 應該
80km or 65km)
2011: at least six people were killed and more
than 50 others injured after a tree collapsed into the path of a
tourist train also serving Ali Mountain.(阿里山車禍6死50傷)
2003: last crash of a similar scale taking place
in 2003, when a train serving the mountain tourist destination
of Ali Mountain derailed, killing 17 people and injuring 156
others.(阿里山車禍17死156傷)
1981:
a collision in Miaoli County, in the island’s
northwest, killed 31 people
(苗栗車禍31死)
●
Business Insider (6-2015) 介紹台灣景點:
◎ Hehuan Mountain and Ali Mountain are two top-rated scenic spots on TripAdvisor.
(阿里山等)
◎ Sun Moon Lake(日月潭)
◎ Kenting National Park(墾丁).
9 nationall. parks, which make up 8.6% of its land. Taroko National Gorge
(太魯閣) alone is worth spending at least two days hiking its
numerous scenic trails.
◎ hot springs Beitou
outside of Taipei, and Jiaoxi in Yilan (北投宜蘭等溫泉)
◎◎
ps: [
Climate ]
tropical and
subtropical
climate zones,
Average
temperature for
northern Taiwan
: 21.7°C;
southern Taiwan:
24.1°C.
Jan. ~ Mar : may
downto 10°C.
June ~ August,
may up to 38°C
●
蘋果日報 11-20-2017 :世界各國的食安法規，都是愈訂愈嚴格，唯獨台灣打算使用愈訂愈鬆的法律，這樣台灣美食王國的美譽如何重現?
(brief)
/
by
邱致穎, 東海大學食品科學系教師 農推中心主任 ( TungHai University ).
○
●
Taiwan is not included in EIU's Global
Food Security Index of 2017, China ranks No. 45 among 113 nations.
○
●
According
to The World's Best Restaurants (2017)
, Taiwan is not included in the list, Thailand got No.7, Singapore No.14, Japan
18th, HK 24th, Shanghai 41th. In sub-total, 5 Japanese , 4 Chinese, 3
Singapore, 2 Thailand, 1 Korean, 1 India restaurant(s) entered top 100.
○
●
CNN 2016年"亞洲最佳餐廳"評鑑，前50名餐廳中，台灣僅二間餐廳入選(台中市的leMout(No.30)與台北Raw(No.46))，排亞洲第9，次於新加坡(10間入選)、香港(9)、日本(8)、泰國(4,
但Gaggan獲最佳餐廳)、中國大陸(3)、韓國、印度、斯里蘭卡
The World's Best Restaurants (2016) ,
台灣無餐廳入選。
●
紐約時報
New York
Times, 2-24-2017:
台北街頭小吃能量旺便宜的大排檔與快炒店數以千計 Taipei
... has a street food scene as vibrant as that of Bangkok; restaurants that
specialize in both Taiwanese and regional cuisines from around China; thousands
of cheap and cheerful joints at which to drink cold beer with small plates and
quick stir-fries; .... ref to
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/15/travel/taipei-taiwan-restaurants-local.html
●
Bloomberg
1-9-2020: Slow income growth and aging society post challenge ahead,
Taiwanese income-per-person, income per capita, lowest of Four Tigers .
NY Times 1-11-2020: lowest
unemployment rate in two decades ... The Guardian, 1-9-2020: The economy
is improving, with wage growth and high employment.
●
United
Daily,
editorial,
11-5-2019:
聯合報社論／台灣經濟真的重回四小龍第一？
https://udn.com/news/story/11321/4144692
○
●
BBC UK 1-2-2019 What's behind the
China-Taiwan divide? https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-34729538
美國是台灣唯一盟友 大多他國樂見目前之模糊狀態 The US is by far Taiwan's most important
friend, and its only ally.
Given the huge divide between these two positions, most other countries seem
happy to accept the current ambiguity, whereby Taiwan has most of the
characteristics of an independent state, even if its legal status remains
unclear.
部分台灣人擔憂經濟依賴中國 其他人認為投資中國使共軍犯台機率減低
... links between the two peoples (ps: Chinese, Taiwanese) and economies
have grown sharply. Taiwanese companies have invested about $60bn (£40bn) in
China, and up to one million Taiwanese now live there, many running
Taiwanese factories.
Some Taiwanese worry their economy is now dependent on China. Others point
out that closer business ties makes Chinese military action less likely,
because of the cost to China's own economy...
●
台灣選舉 民進黨大敗
Taiwan votes in elections, Nov. 2018
●
New York Times, 11-23-2018:
Economic growth, employment and pension
reforms were among key issues in the elections...China said the results
(Taiwan elections) reflected a desire of Taiwanese for better
relations with the mainland...
經濟就業是這次選舉的關鍵因素...中國表示選舉結果反映人民想改善兩岸關係之欲望.
●
Quartz , 11-25-2018 :
Taiwan’s elections have given Beijing much to
celebrate (https://qz.com/1473960/taiwans-elections-have-given-beijing-much-to-celebrate/)
●
Le Monde (France), 11-24-2018 : A Taïwan, des
élections sous influence chinoise
●
Wall Street Journal
,
11 25 2018:
台灣人民在中國威嚇下表現出務實之選舉結果 A great virtue of
Taiwan’s voters is that they’re pragmatic, a useful trait for an island
under threat of a Chinese invasion. That pragmatism was on display in local
elections Saturday that rebuked President Tsai Ing-wen while refusing to ban
nuclear power.
●
Reuters UK
, 11-26-2018:
Beijing told Reuters simply: “They’re really happy.” 中國對台灣選舉結果真是高興
●
SET news, Taiwan, 11-26-2018:
英國路透社一針見血，認為中國是這次選舉的最大贏家，而華盛頓郵報和法國世界報也都認為，中國是左右這次選舉的最大關鍵。
●
Washington
Post, 1-5-2018 : China is Taiwan’s largest trading partner and China is
Taiwan’s main destination for outbound investment; 40 percent of Taiwan’s
exports flow to China and a fifth of Taiwan’s gross domestic product derives
from its economic ties to the mainland.
○
●
紐約時報
New York times, 12-13-2016 : 如今，台灣3分之2以上的海外直接投资流向大陸
―
台灣最大的贸易伙伴。...台灣人的共識是，與大陸某种程度的经濟依存無法避免，但過度仰赖则有風险。是以極端的
经濟政策失去了人民的支持。...北京的策略是，對台湾讓利益，讓台湾人更頃向于统一，但尚未成功。另方面，北京加大施壓力度，
中止台灣的官方沟通、减少陸客來台旅遊 和圍堵台灣的國際空間——。Today,
more
than
two-thirds
of
Taiwan’s
outward
foreign
direct
investment
is to
China,
which is
also
Taiwan’s
leading
trading
partner.
Taiwanese
has
emerged
a
consensus
that
some
degree
of
economic
interdependence
with
China is
unavoidable
but that
overdependence
is
risky.
Beijing’s
strategy
of
giving
Taiwanese
economic
benefits
so that
Taiwanese
will
become
more
inclined
toward
unification
has not
been
successful
...
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/12/13/world/asia
○
●
英國BBC, UK,
6-14-2017:
Taiwan
has
become
one of
Asia's
big
traders.
It is
considered
to have
achieved
an
economic
miracle,
becoming
one of
the
world's
top
producers
of
computer
technology.
台灣創造了經濟奇蹟
，成為世界重要電子產品生產廠與亞洲主要貿易國家/
Taiwan
country
profile
http://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-16164639
○
● Wikipedia,
Economy of Taiwan
台灣高科技產品在全球經濟扮演中要角色，但其關鍵技術與主
要組件須仰賴日本與美國的
提供與進口。臺灣的電子工業多為ODM。
Taiwan
is
the
22nd-largest
economy
in
the
world,
and
its
high-tech
industry
plays
a
key
role
in
the
global
economy.
(Taiwan
has
a
developed
capitalist
economy
that
ranks
as
the
22th-largest
in
the
world
by
purchasing
power
parity
(PPP)
)
It
is
ranked
highly
in
terms
of
...
economic
freedom,
and
human
development...These
SMEs
usually
produce
products
on
an
original
equipment
manufacturer
(OEM)
or
original
design
manufacturer
(ODM)
basis,
resulting
in
less
resources
spent
on
research
and
development.
Due
to
the
emphasis
of
the
OEM/ODM
model,
companies
are
usually
unable
to
make
in-depth
assessments
for
investment,
production,
and
marketing
of
new
products,
instead
relying
upon
importation
of
key
components
and
advanced
technology
from
the
United
States
and
Japan.
/
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Taiwan
○
●
Baidu China
: 国际贸易是台湾的经济命脉，中国大陆是台湾最大贸易伙伴、进出口贸易第一地区，其次为美国和日本。不同于邻近的韩国和日本，台湾经济以中小型企业而非大型企业集团为主。 台湾电子信息产业在全球产业链中地位举足轻重，全球大多数电脑电子零组件都在台湾生产。......目前当局积极推动产业转型升级，重点发展观光旅游、医疗照护、生物科技、绿色能源、文化创意、精致农业六大新兴产业和十大服务业。 2002年瑞士洛桑國際管理學院《世界競爭力年報》指出臺灣人平均一年工作時數是2,282小時，臺灣工時世界排名第一。2012年CNN援引勞委會和OECD的數據指出，臺灣人每年平均工作2,200小時，比日本、美國多出20％，和德國相比更高出35％。 PS: Apple Daily 10-1-2017: 台灣勞動部統計，2016年勞工時2034小時，全球第6, 次於新、墨、南韓、哥、希臘，但台灣勞工隱藏的加班時數過多，難以由統計看出過勞改善。
○
○
●
Credit
Suisse,
Oct.
18,
2018
:
country
Wealth per adult(USD)
GDP per adult
Total wealth (bn)
Share of world wealth
quality
United States
403,974
81,425
98,154
31.0%
Good
Singapore
283,118
75,242
1,289
0.4 %
Satisfactory
France
280,580
55,668
13,883
4.4%
Good
United Kingdom
279,048
54,621
14,209
4.5%
Good
Japan
227,235
47,980
23,884
7.5%
Good
Germany
214,893
57,955
14,499
4.6%
Good
Taiwan
212,375
31,146
4,065
1.3 %
Satisfactory
China
47,810
12,147
51,874
16.4%
Good
Global Wealth Rpt.,
http://publications.credit-suisse.com/tasks/render/file/index.cfm?fileid=77A4E912-A32D-8E84-CC8C21144CEE52E2
Global Weaalth Databook,
http://publications.credit-suisse.com/tasks/render/file/index.cfm?fileid=777FDF0E-E060-F608-52DAF97E062CC35B
○
●
瑞士信貸 Credit
Suisse,
Nov.
15,
2017
:
Global Wealth report 2017, Country summary
Country
Mean wealth per Adult (USD)
Median wealth per Adult (USD)
Taiwan
188,081
87,257
Japan
225,057
123,724
Singapore
268,776
108,850
France
263,399
119,720
UK
278,038
102,641
Compared to the world as a whole, Taiwan has high average
wealth and only moderate wealth inequality.
http://publications.credit-suisse.com/tasks/render/file/index.cfm?fileid=A6E9E182-E39B-0353-6751EB076EF35159
Credit
Suisse,
Dec.
2016
:
台灣
亞洲之虎
，
台灣人的平均財富USD
172,847,，超過多數為亞洲國家
Taiwan,
Asia
Tiger
-
Taiwan's
average
level
of
wealth,
at
USD
172,847,
is
well
above
that
of
most
countries
in
the
Asia-Pacific
region,
and
similar
to
that
of
Western Europe.
(
Taiwan's mean wealth per adult, at USD
172,847, is
about
same as
that
of
France USD244,400
or
Germany
USD185,175, Taiwan's median wealth per adult USD 63,134, is about in the same
level with France USD 99,923, Canada 96,664.)
●
聯合報 社論
United
Daily,
Opinion,
12-5-2017
:
台北薪資輸給北京
-
第三季月薪
台北
NT
43500
、
北京
rmb
9900,
equal
NT46000、
Shanghai
3rd
about
NT
43000.
/
智聯招聘survey.
○
●
聯合報 頭版頭條 10-6-2017; 中央研究院《臺灣經濟競爭與成長策略政策建議書》Academia Sinica of Taiwan,
10-5-2017
: Taiwan
Economic
Competition and
Growth Strategy
Policy Proposal
In the
past ten years,
its average
economic growth
rate has dropped
to 3.82%, which
is lower than
other Asian
countries such
as South Korea
and Singapore.
●
Le Monde of France, Mai '16,
reported the
economies of both sides were complementary, now compete each other.
Taiwanese
are gradually being excluded from the Chinese chain of production and supply. (Mais les économies des deux rives, qui étaient complémentaires,
entrent désormais en concurrence.
Les entreprises taïwanaises
sont progressivement exclues de la mise en place d’une chaîne de production
et d’approvisionnement chinoise ... )
Taiwan used to be an indispensable part of
the world high-tech supply chain. Now the island that derives a fifth of its
economy from the likes of PCs, tablets and smart phones for export is unsure how
long all that can sustain. The most often cited reason: Taiwan isn’t keeping up
in software, which in today’s terms means mobile apps and artificial
intelligence as well as the stuff Microsoft does for PCs....Pay
for university professors is too low to attract world-class people from overseas
to teach... https://www.forbes.com/sites/ralphjennings/2017/04/23/taiwans-once-mighty-high-tech-sector-is-falling-behind-because-of-low-pay/#204190537b43/Asia
/#BigBusiness
○
●
The China Times, opinion 中時 社論, 11-7-2017, The
United Daily, opinion 聯合報 社論, 11-10-2017: 台灣產業 5缺 : 水、電、土地、工人、人才。
○
●
國家政策基金會
National Policy Foundation
,
7-16-2009
台灣科技產業的問題與對策
缺乏關鍵技術 :
台灣科技產業的另一個問題，便是缺乏關鍵技術。重要的關鍵技術幾乎均由外國大廠所把持，台廠對於技術研發所挹注的資源偏低，淪為低毛利的代工的角色。
... http://www.npf.org.tw/2/6142
○
●
人民日報 海外版, 11-12-2017 "大陸崛起 台灣何必緊張" : 2016年中国的GDP約為台灣的23倍，廣東、
江蘇、山東、浙江、河南5
省皆已超過台灣，台灣憂心三、五年內台灣可能落到大陸十省之後。(brief
, UDN, 11-13-2017)
; (more to see The China Times, opinion,
12-18-2017 "當我們看不起的大陸超越我們").
HOT !
